Social and Economic Impacts of the COVID-19 and Policy Option in the Dominican Republic

E. Salvador, By Rodrigo Barraza, R. Barrientos, Xenia Díaz, Víctor Tablas, D. León, Mariana Viollaz
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Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic poses significant challenges for the Dominican Republic, including the loss of foreign exchange earnings due to the reduction of key activities such as tourism, the shutdown of a large part of economic activities with direct and indirect effects on employment and household income, and fiscal challenges, as the government is implementing crisis relief measures at the same time as it sees the tax revenue falls. This document presents a description of the current situation of the economy and the policies that the government has implemented since mid-March, analyzing their relevance, evaluating their fiscal balance, and proposing additional measures. Finally, a simulation exercise of the impact of the implemented programs on the poverty rate is carried out. The results show that the government's policy package, by focusing part of the subsidies on poor and vulnerable households, can play an important role in containing the increase in poverty, but targeting employment subsidies on formal workers would especially benefit wealthier households.
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COVID-19对多米尼加共和国的社会和经济影响及政策选择
2019冠状病毒病大流行给多米尼加共和国带来了重大挑战,包括由于旅游等关键活动减少而造成的外汇收入损失,对就业和家庭收入产生直接和间接影响的大部分经济活动关闭,以及财政挑战,因为政府在实施危机救济措施的同时看到税收下降。该文件介绍了3月中旬以来的经济现状和政府实施的政策,分析了这些政策的相关性,评估了财政平衡,并提出了补充措施。最后,对实施的项目对贫困率的影响进行了模拟。结果表明,政府一揽子政策通过将部分补贴重点放在贫困和弱势家庭上,可以在遏制贫困增加方面发挥重要作用,但将就业补贴重点放在正规工人上,对较富裕家庭尤其有利。
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