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The Socio-Economic Implications of the COVID-19 Pandemic最新文献

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The Covid-19 Pandemic: A Public Choice View Covid-19大流行:公共选择观点
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-24967-9
P. Karadimas
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引用次数: 1
Chapter 2 We are no longer hunters and gatherers. Societies, states, values, and healthcare today 第二章我们不再是猎人和采集者。今天的社会、国家、价值观和医疗保健
Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-323-99149-0.00002-X
K. Rose
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引用次数: 0
Development Challenges in the Face of COVID-19 in Mexico. Socio-Economic Overview 面对COVID-19,墨西哥面临的发展挑战。社会经济概况
Pub Date : 2021-11-30 DOI: 10.18356/9789210055413c013
Adan L. Martinez-Cruz
The COVID-19 pandemic, in addition to health challenges, has imposed enormous socio-economic development challenges on Mexico. Throughout the document, it is argued that the weak economy and inequalities that prevailed before the arrival of COVID-19 in Mexico are exacerbating the effects of the lockdown implemented to contain the virus and reducing the response capacity of the Mexican government. It also analyzes the effects that the pandemic has had on (i) workers’ income, both formal and informal; (ii) poverty levels; (iii) private consumption; (iv) industrial production; (v) oil prices; (vi) exports; and (vii) income from remittances. Finally, based on these analyses, a series of recommendations are issued, aimed first at protecting household incomes and sources of employment. Secondly, the recommendations focus on reducing risks that threaten the stability of the financial system, in order to promote a faster recovery. Thirdly, guidelines for strengthening the government's response capacity are proposed. Fourthly, the recommendation to favor policies that incorporate the gender perspective is made. Finally, evidence-based, gradual re-opening proposals are issued, which avoid contagion peaks and longer lockdown periods that would deepen the current recession.
除了健康挑战外,2019冠状病毒病大流行还给墨西哥带来了巨大的社会经济发展挑战。在整个文件中,有人认为,在COVID-19抵达墨西哥之前普遍存在的经济疲软和不平等加剧了为遏制病毒而实施的封锁的影响,并降低了墨西哥政府的应对能力。报告还分析了疫情对以下方面的影响:(1)工人的正式和非正式收入;贫穷程度;(三)私人消费;(四)工业生产;(五)石油价格;(vi)出口;(七)侨汇收入。最后,根据这些分析,提出了一系列建议,首先旨在保护家庭收入和就业来源。其次,建议的重点是降低威胁金融体系稳定的风险,以促进更快的复苏。第三,提出了加强政府应对能力的指导方针。第四,建议支持包含性别观点的政策。最后,提出了以证据为基础的逐步重新开放的建议,避免了传染高峰和更长时间的封锁期,而这将加剧当前的衰退。
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引用次数: 1
Social and Economic Impacts of the COVID-19 and Policy Option in the Dominican Republic COVID-19对多米尼加共和国的社会和经济影响及政策选择
Pub Date : 2021-11-30 DOI: 10.18356/9789210055413c014
E. Salvador, By Rodrigo Barraza, R. Barrientos, Xenia Díaz, Víctor Tablas, D. León, Mariana Viollaz
The COVID-19 pandemic poses significant challenges for the Dominican Republic, including the loss of foreign exchange earnings due to the reduction of key activities such as tourism, the shutdown of a large part of economic activities with direct and indirect effects on employment and household income, and fiscal challenges, as the government is implementing crisis relief measures at the same time as it sees the tax revenue falls. This document presents a description of the current situation of the economy and the policies that the government has implemented since mid-March, analyzing their relevance, evaluating their fiscal balance, and proposing additional measures. Finally, a simulation exercise of the impact of the implemented programs on the poverty rate is carried out. The results show that the government's policy package, by focusing part of the subsidies on poor and vulnerable households, can play an important role in containing the increase in poverty, but targeting employment subsidies on formal workers would especially benefit wealthier households.
2019冠状病毒病大流行给多米尼加共和国带来了重大挑战,包括由于旅游等关键活动减少而造成的外汇收入损失,对就业和家庭收入产生直接和间接影响的大部分经济活动关闭,以及财政挑战,因为政府在实施危机救济措施的同时看到税收下降。该文件介绍了3月中旬以来的经济现状和政府实施的政策,分析了这些政策的相关性,评估了财政平衡,并提出了补充措施。最后,对实施的项目对贫困率的影响进行了模拟。结果表明,政府一揽子政策通过将部分补贴重点放在贫困和弱势家庭上,可以在遏制贫困增加方面发挥重要作用,但将就业补贴重点放在正规工人上,对较富裕家庭尤其有利。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 in Bolivia: On the Path to recovering Development 2019冠状病毒病在玻利维亚:走上恢复发展的道路
Pub Date : 2021-11-30 DOI: 10.18356/9789210055413c017
Andy Neumeyer, J. Ocampo
Bolivia, just like the other countries of the region, was not excluded from the impact of COVID-19 and the pandemic appeared in the midst of an economic and political crisis as a result of the failed presidential elections of October, 2019. Despite the fact that timely measures were adopted to face the pandemic at the beginning of the outbreak and that, in effect, it did slow down the initial increase of the epidemiological curve, later it became impossible to stop the exponential growth of cases and finally the health care system collapsed exposing its deficient structure. The lockdown paralyzed activities and many people lost their jobs; livelihoods were partially or totally destroyed which resulted in a loss of income for many. The economy was faced by a supply shock followed by a demand shock because the level of household consumption dropped. By imposing dynamic and flexible quarantines the government has now started to re-open the economy and has provided the financial system with funds for loans needed to boost the domestic demand. The COVID-19 not only unleashed the crisis but has also opened opportunities and the urgency to get back to work as soon as possible very often was not made visible or ignored. This concerns a society that needs to recover its rights under a new equitable, inclusive and just framework of social justice that focuses on making progress and re-channeling efforts to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals.
与该地区其他国家一样,玻利维亚也未能幸免于2019年10月总统选举失败造成的经济和政治危机。尽管在疫情爆发之初采取了及时的措施来应对大流行,实际上,它确实减缓了流行病学曲线的最初增长,但后来无法阻止病例的指数增长,最终医疗保健系统崩溃,暴露出其缺陷结构。封锁使活动瘫痪,许多人失去了工作;生计被部分或全部摧毁,导致许多人失去收入。由于家庭消费水平下降,经济面临供给冲击,随后又面临需求冲击。通过实施动态和灵活的隔离措施,政府现在开始重新开放经济,并为金融体系提供了扩大内需所需的贷款资金。2019冠状病毒病不仅引发了危机,也带来了机遇,人们往往没有意识到或忽视尽快重返工作岗位的紧迫性。这涉及到一个需要在新的公平、包容和公正的社会正义框架下恢复其权利的社会,该框架侧重于取得进展并重新引导实现可持续发展目标的努力。
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引用次数: 1
Promoting Socio-Economic recovery in Paraguay Report – economic reactivation Strategies during COVID-19 促进巴拉圭的社会经济复苏报告- 2019冠状病毒病期间的经济振兴战略
Pub Date : 2021-11-30 DOI: 10.18356/9789210055413c016
E. Salvador, R. Barraza, R. Barrientos, Xenia Díaz, Rafael Pleitez, Víctor Tablas
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引用次数: 0
Social and Economic Impact of COVID-19 and Policy Options in Uruguay 2019冠状病毒病对乌拉圭的社会和经济影响及政策选择
Pub Date : 2021-11-30 DOI: 10.18356/9789210055413c010
Alfonso Capurro, Germán Deagosto, Federico Ferro, Sebastián Ithurralde, Gabriel Oddone
The economic crisis caused by COVID-19 is an event without precedent in the modern economy and probably associated with the most disruptive effects since the Second World War, or even since the Great Depression. Evidence of this is the worldwide economic policy response, which also is without recent precedents. Within the orbit of the emerging economies, the situation is being aggravated by episodes of “flight to quality”, which brings additional pressure on the financial variables and access to financing in the international markets. In the case of Uruguay, the economy will go into recession in 2020, there will be a significant real depreciation of the peso and higher inflation. All this will have negative effects on employment, incomes, poverty and inequality. Although the measures adopted up to now are going in the right direction in the light of what has been experienced internationally, and the restrictions faced by the country, they are still insufficient to offset the affected activities and mitigate the impact on the most vulnerable population. In this context, the purpose of this document is to analyse the channels of transmission of the shock and the impact that it might have on the Uruguayan economy, and the measures that have already been taken and additional measures that could be deployed to soften the impact on the most vulnerable sections of Uruguayan society. UNDP Latin America and the Caribbean #COVID19 | POLICY DOCUMENTS SERIES 2 www.latinamerica.undp.org | United Nations Development Programme | 2020 POLICY DOCUMENTS SERIES UNDP LAC C19 PDS N°. 1 A Conceptual Framework for Analyzing the Economic Impact of COVID-19 and its Policy Implications By Constantino Hevia and Andy Neumeyer UNDP LAC C19 PDS N°. 2 Suggestions for the emergency By Santiago Levy UNDP LAC C19 PDS N°. 3 The economic impact of COVID-19 on Venezuela: the urgency of external financing By Daniel Barráez and Ana María Chirinos-Leañez UNDP LAC C19 PDS N°. 4 Social and economic impact of the COVID-19 and policy options in Honduras By Andrés Ham UNDP LAC C19 PDS N°. 5 Covid-19 and external shock: Economic impacts and policy options in Peru By Miguel Jaramillo and Hugo Ñopo UNDP LAC C19 PDS N°. 6 Social and Economic Impact of COVID-19 and Policy Options in Argentina By María Laura Alzúa and Paula Gosis UNDP LAC C19 PDS N°. 7 International financial cooperation in the face of Latin America’s economic crisis By José Antonio Ocampo UNDP LAC C19 PDS N°. 8 Covid-19 and social protection of poor and vulnerable groups in Latin America: a conceptual framework By Nora Lustig and Mariano Tommasi UNDP LAC C19 PDS N°. 9 Social and economic impact of the COVID-19 and policy options in Jamaica By Manuel Mera UNDP LAC C19 PDS N°. 10 Social and economic impact of COVID-19 and policy options in Uruguay By Alfonso Capurro, Germán Deagosto, Federico Ferro, Sebastián Ithurralde and Gabriel Oddone UNDP Latin America and the Caribbean #COVID19 | POLICY DOCUMENTS SERIES 3 www.latinamerica.un
到目前为止,由于无法有针对性地隔离受感染的个人和群体,导致了社会距离政策,在世界各地造成了不成比例的高经济和社会成本。保持社交距离、封锁和隔离等政策的结合,意味着在一段不确定的时间内,生产和消费活动会放缓,甚至完全停止,从而导致市场崩溃,并可能导致企业关闭,数百万工人回家。作为关键生产要素的劳动力在大多数经济部门被隔离,边境被关闭,全球价值链被打乱。多数估计显示,全球产出水平将出现收缩。对于拉丁美洲和加勒比地区,普遍预测为- 3%至-4%,在预测u型危机模式的情况下,该地区预计要到2022年才能恢复到危机前的产出水平。拉加经委会认为,如果没有积极的政策来保护或替代流入弱势群体的收入,3 000多万人可能陷入贫困。我们面临的危机需要非常规的应对措施。我们关注的是水平效应:危机对经济体规模的影响,以及它们在危机后恢复增长的能力。但我们同样担心冲击对分配的影响。这场危机与资产持有、创收能力、劳动条件、获得公共服务以及许多其他方面的原有异质性相互作用,使一些个人和家庭特别容易受到这种经济冻结的影响。非正规市场上的人、小微企业家、就业条件不稳定的妇女、历史上被排斥的群体,如土著和非洲后裔,必须成为政策反应的中心。开发计划署作为联合国的发展机构,在其设计、执行、监测和评价方面具有伴随决策的悠久传统。它的任务是应对不断变化的环境,部署其资产,支持成员国寻求综合解决复杂问题的办法。本丛书旨在借鉴开发计划署自身在全球的经验和知识,以及我们在拉丁美洲和加勒比的伙伴智库和学术机构的专门知识和能力。它旨在促进集体反思应对Covid-19卫生危机及其对我们社会的经济和社会影响。守时是必须的。基于证据、经验和理性的政策直觉(来自我们丰富的政策参与历史)的解决方案对于指导这一努力至关重要。本丛书还有助于联合国改革所确立的综合办法,并希望成为联合国发展系统在全球、区域和国家各级作出一致反应的重要投入。美联储(fed)前理事本•伯南克(Ben Bernanke)在《行动的勇气》(the Courage to Act)一书中提醒我们,在危机期间,人们的区别在于哪些人会行动,哪些人害怕行动。我们希望这个政策文件系列将有助于公众辩论,提供及时和技术上可靠的建议,以支持许多正在采取果断行动保护我们地区最脆弱群体的人。联合国开发计划署拉丁美洲和加勒比地区# covid - 19 |政策文件系列5 www.latinamerica.undp.org |联合国开发计划署| 2020
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引用次数: 2
Social and Economic Impact of the COVID-19 and Policy Options in Honduras 2019冠状病毒病对洪都拉斯的社会和经济影响及政策选择
Pub Date : 2021-11-30 DOI: 10.18356/9789210055413c006
By Andrés Ham
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引用次数: 4
Social and Economic Impact of COVID-19 and Policy Options in Argentina 2019冠状病毒病对阿根廷的社会和经济影响及政策选择
Pub Date : 2021-11-30 DOI: 10.18356/9789210055413c008
Maria Laura Alzúa, Paula Gosis
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引用次数: 9
The Bahamas Country Note: Impact of COVID-19 and policy Options 巴哈马国家说明:2019冠状病毒病的影响和政策选择
Pub Date : 2021-11-30 DOI: 10.18356/9789210055413c015
E. Salvador
As the rest of the world, The Bahamas is confronting the challenges derived from the Covid-19 pandemic. The country will face a very difficult year economically and socially. The abrupt halt in tourism, the islands' main industry, is causing unemployment to rise and GDP to fall by historic levels. Unlike other countries in the region, The Bahamas has a more robust fiscal and macroeconomic situation, which allows it to develop a strong emergency response. The Government has established a series of stimuli for activity and employment support totaling 2.37% of GDP, which is low compared to countries with similar per-capita income. The strategy also places great emphasis on formal activities and registered employees, so the most vulnerable population is reached only through sub-optimal policies. This paper reviews the economic and social situation in The Bahamas and describes the policies implemented for the containment of the crisis. It also proposes moving from food assistance for sectors without contributory benefits to broader unemployment insurance that can help maintain consumption and reduce the number of programs the Government is implementing. This last point is particularly important due to the lack of up-to-date records and statistics for coordinating social assistance.
与世界其他地区一样,巴哈马也在应对新冠肺炎大流行带来的挑战。这个国家在经济和社会方面将面临非常困难的一年。该岛的主要产业——旅游业的突然停摆,导致失业率上升,国内生产总值(GDP)创下历史新低。与该区域其他国家不同,巴哈马的财政和宏观经济状况更为稳健,这使它能够制定强有力的应急措施。政府制定了一系列刺激活动和支持就业的措施,总额占国内生产总值的2.37%,与人均收入相似的国家相比,这一数字较低。该战略还非常重视正式活动和注册雇员,因此只能通过次优政策来覆盖最弱势群体。本文回顾了巴哈马的经济和社会状况,并介绍了为遏制危机而执行的政策。报告还建议从对没有缴费福利部门的粮食援助转向更广泛的失业保险,这有助于维持消费并减少政府正在实施的项目的数量。由于缺乏协调社会援助的最新记录和统计数据,最后一点尤为重要。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
The Socio-Economic Implications of the COVID-19 Pandemic
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