Crop Choice and Infrastructure Accessibility in Tanzania: Subsistence Crops or Export Crops?

Atsushi Iimi, R. Humphreys, Sevara Melibaeva
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Abstract

Africa has great potential for agriculture. Although international commodity prices have been buoyant, Africa’s supply response seems to be weak. A variety of constraints may exist. Using the case of Tanzania, the paper examines the impact of market connectivity, domestic and international, on farmers’ crop choices. It is shown that the international market connectivity, measured by transport costs to the maritime port, is important for farmers to choose export crops, such as cotton and tobacco. Internal connectivity to the domestic market is also found to be important for growing food crops, such as maize and rice. Among other inputs, access to irrigation and improved seed availability are also important factors in the crop choices of farmers. The size of land area is one constraint to promote the crop shift. The paper also reports the finding that farmers are not using market prices effectively in their choice of crop, even after the endogeneity of local prices is taken into account.
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坦桑尼亚的作物选择和基础设施可及性:自给作物还是出口作物?
非洲农业发展潜力巨大。尽管国际商品价格一直在上涨,但非洲的供应反应似乎很弱。可能存在各种各样的约束。本文以坦桑尼亚为例,考察了国内和国际市场连通性对农民作物选择的影响。研究表明,国际市场的连通性(通过到海港的运输成本来衡量)对于农民选择棉花和烟草等出口作物非常重要。与国内市场的内部联系也被发现对种植玉米和水稻等粮食作物很重要。除其他投入外,获得灌溉和改善种子供应也是农民选择作物的重要因素。土地面积大小是促进作物轮作的制约因素之一。这篇论文还报道了农民在选择作物时没有有效地利用市场价格的发现,即使考虑到当地价格的内生性。
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