Does Residential Mobility Anticipate Urban Growth? The Importance of the Local Socioeconomic Context in a European Metropolitan Region

IF 0.4 Q4 DEMOGRAPHY Population Review Pub Date : 2018-08-31 DOI:10.1353/PRV.2018.0005
L. Salvati, I. Zambon
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Abstract:Urban growth at different spatial scales is analysed using the assumptions that large cities have experienced sequential cycles of urbanization, suburbanization and re-urbanization that reflect complex demographic dynamics. Original approaches, quantitative methodologies and indicators are employed to support analysis of urban growth at different spatial scales. Residential mobility is considered as a proxy measure for spatial dynamics, intensity of urban expansion and socioeconomic development at local and regional scales in Mediterranean Europe. By computing the percent share of the population living in the same municipality five years before the census date in the total resident population at the census date, a spatial analysis of residential mobility and related background context allowed for the identification of specific urban cycles, outlining heterogeneous patterns of growth in the metropolitan region of Athens, Greece, over the last three decades (1981–2011). Results indicate that changes in spatial patterns of residential mobility are associated with multiple factors (directly or indirectly), dependent on demographic dynamics and economic cycles exposing (apparent or latent) variability in the socio-spatial urban structure and functional re-organization processes across larger metropolitan areas. Multiple socioeconomic transitions are identified in the study area, with short-range population movements diverging with urbanization, suburbanization and re-urbanization. Under both economic expansion and recession, spatial patterns of residential mobility reflect differential population dynamics, whose knowledge provides innovative visions for future urban cycles in Europe.
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居民流动性是否预示着城市的发展?欧洲大都市地区当地社会经济背景的重要性
摘要:本文假设大城市经历了城市化、郊区化和再城市化的连续周期,反映了复杂的人口动态,分析了不同空间尺度下的城市增长。本文采用原始的方法、定量方法和指标来支持不同空间尺度下的城市增长分析。居住流动性被认为是衡量地中海欧洲地方和区域尺度上的空间动态、城市扩张强度和社会经济发展的代理指标。通过计算人口普查日期前五年居住在同一城市的人口占人口普查日期总常住人口的百分比,住宅流动性和相关背景的空间分析允许识别特定的城市周期,概述了过去三十年(1981-2011)希腊雅典大都市地区的异质增长模式。结果表明,居住流动性空间格局的变化与多种因素(直接或间接)相关,取决于人口动态和经济周期,这些因素暴露了(明显或潜在)大都市地区社会空间城市结构和功能重组过程的变异性。研究区存在多重社会经济转型,短期人口流动呈现城市化、郊区化和再城市化的分化趋势。无论是在经济扩张还是衰退的情况下,居住流动性的空间格局都反映了人口动态的差异,这为欧洲未来的城市周期提供了创新的视角。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Population Review
Population Review DEMOGRAPHY-
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
14.30%
发文量
3
期刊介绍: Population Review publishes scholarly research that covers a broad range of social science disciplines, including demography, sociology, social anthropology, socioenvironmental science, communication, and political science. The journal emphasizes empirical research and strives to advance knowledge on the interrelationships between demography and sociology. The editor welcomes submissions that combine theory with solid empirical research. Articles that are of general interest to population specialists are also desired. International in scope, the journal’s focus is not limited by geography. Submissions are encouraged from scholars in both the developing and developed world. Population Review publishes original articles and book reviews. Content is published online immediately after acceptance.
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