Retrospective assessment of weather conditions in the cities of Petropavlovsk and Karaganda over an 11-year period (2010-2020)

N. Smagulov, A. Konkabayeva, Akerke J. Sadykova, Gulnar Zhanatovna Mukasheva, Arailym Serik
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Abstract

The effects of weather conditions beyond certain thresholds have both direct and indirect effects on the human body. Direct consequences include increased mortality, morbidity and injuries caused by extreme weather events. The lack of information on broader aspects, including the role of some modifier effects, in particular, the interaction between air pollution and weather requires in-depth study. In this study, a comparative analysis of the weather over an 11-year period (2010-2020) in the cities of Petropavlovsk and Karaganda was carried out. Weather indicators were used according to the information bulletin on the state of the environment of the Republic of Kazakhstan and the weather archives in Karaganda and Petropavlovsk on the weather website. Air temperature, humidity, precipitation, wind speed, dew point were analyzed. Along with this, the Bodman method was used for the bioclimatic assessment of the cold period, which made it possible to determine the severity of the weather in points. The analysis of the severity of the weather according to Bodman in the studied cities indicates that Petropavlovsk has a more severe winter. The assessment of heat sensations by the wind-cold index of the Saipl in the studied regions showed that heat sensations can be regarded as “cold” all winter months. The equivalent-effective temperature (EET) was calculated, which is a complex indicator of human heat sensations and is formed under the influence of three meteorological factors: air temperature, air humidity and wind speed. Based on the EET, it was concluded that the weather in cities was characterized by significant discomfort in terms of EET.
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彼得罗巴甫洛夫斯克和卡拉干达11年(2010-2020年)天气状况回顾性评估
超过一定阈值的天气条件对人体有直接和间接的影响。直接后果包括极端天气事件造成的死亡率、发病率和伤害增加。由于缺乏更广泛方面的资料,包括一些调节作用的作用,特别是空气污染和天气之间的相互作用,需要深入研究。在这项研究中,对彼得罗巴甫洛夫斯克市和卡拉干达市11年(2010-2020年)的天气进行了比较分析。天气指标是根据哈萨克斯坦共和国环境状况的信息公告和天气网站上卡拉干达和彼得罗巴甫洛夫斯克的天气档案使用的。对空气温度、湿度、降水量、风速、露点进行了分析。与此同时,Bodman方法被用于寒冷时期的生物气候评估,这使得确定点的天气严重程度成为可能。根据博德曼对被研究城市的天气严重程度的分析表明,彼得罗巴甫洛夫斯克有一个更严重的冬天。用风寒指数对研究区热感觉的评价表明,在整个冬季,热感觉都是“冷”的。等效有效温度(EET)是在气温、空气湿度和风速三种气象因素影响下形成的人体热感觉的复杂指标。在EET的基础上,得出城市天气在EET方面具有显著不适的结论。
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