The United States, Japan, and the Emerging East Asian Order

N. Thayer
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Abstract

he nations of East Asia and North America have come to constitute a new international order. At the core of this order are Australia, Canada, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, the Pacific ministates, the Philippines, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, the United States, and the two city-states of Singapore and Hong Kong. Because the nations are so varied, however, identification among them is weak and regional cooperation suffers. At the periphery of this order are the Asian Socialist states of the People's Republic of China (prc), North Korea, the Soviet Union, and Vietnam, which includes Laos and Kampuchea. Relations among these states are dominated, for the most part, by balance-ofpower considerations, and their relations with the core states of the East Asian international order have been adversarial, although this is beginning to change. Most core states have established at least informal relations with China and the Soviet Union; for instance, Thailand uses its ties with China to contain Vietnam, and South Korea has considered outflanking North Korea by offering support to the Soviet Union in developing Siberia. Even though the security relations in East Asia are far from resolved, and balance-of-power considerations still very much in evidence, security systems have not emerged as a principal concern for these nations, which, for the most part, have been content to fend for themselves or, at best, to enter into bilateral security treaties. These arrangements have sufficed. In fact, they have failed to protect the parties involved on only one occasion, when the Chinese invaded Vietnam, which had signed a friendship treaty with the Soviet Union.
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美国、日本和新兴的东亚秩序
东亚和北美国家已经形成了一种新的国际秩序。这一秩序的核心是澳大利亚、加拿大、印度尼西亚、日本、马来西亚、新西兰、太平洋沿岸国家、菲律宾、韩国、台湾、泰国、美国以及新加坡和香港这两个城邦。然而,由于这些国家千差万别,它们之间的认同感很弱,区域合作受到影响。在这一秩序的外围是中华人民共和国、朝鲜、苏联和越南(包括老挝和柬埔寨)等亚洲社会主义国家。这些国家之间的关系在很大程度上是由均势考虑主导的,它们与东亚国际秩序核心国家的关系一直是对抗性的,尽管这种情况正在开始改变。大多数核心国家至少与中国和苏联建立了非正式关系;例如,泰国利用与中国的关系来遏制越南,韩国考虑通过在开发西伯利亚方面向苏联提供支持来包抄朝鲜。尽管东亚地区的安全关系远未解决,力量平衡的考虑仍然非常明显,但安全体系尚未成为这些国家的主要关切,它们大多数满足于自谋出路,或者充其量是签订双边安全条约。这些安排已经足够了。事实上,他们只有一次没能保护相关各方,那就是中国入侵与苏联签订友好条约的越南。
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