Study on Oil Spill Risks at STS Anchorage of Pearl River Estuary

Rong-Chang Chen
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Abstract

This paper discusses factors of two aspects deciding the risk level of spill accidents from ship to ship transfer (STS) at anchorage. The direct and indirect causes influencing the occurrence probability of an accident are studied and analysis is focused on the types of spilled oil that results in severe consequence after any spill accident, sensitivity of environment-sensitive resources to oil spillage and the impact level, and factors influencing the emergency response etc. With the Oilmap model, 600 random simulations were made on spill accidents that may possibly occur at the STS anchorage of Pearl River Estuary and the impact level of oil spill accidents on sensitive areas. On the basis of analysis on risk factors, predicted results and the characteristics of STS operations, risk prevention measures that can reduce the occurrence probability of oil spill and mitigate the accident consequences are proposed.
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珠江口STS锚地溢油风险研究
本文从两个方面探讨了决定锚地船舶转移溢油事故风险等级的因素。研究了影响事故发生概率的直接和间接原因,重点分析了溢油事故发生后造成严重后果的溢油类型、环境敏感资源对溢油的敏感性和影响程度、影响应急响应的因素等。利用oil map模型,对珠江口STS锚地可能发生的溢油事故和溢油事故对敏感区域的影响程度进行了600次随机模拟。在分析风险因素、预测结果和STS作业特点的基础上,提出了降低溢油发生概率、减轻事故后果的风险防范措施。
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