Modelling the impact of anthropogenic measures on saltwater intrusion in the Weser estuary

IF 4.1 3区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Ocean Science Pub Date : 2022-12-12 DOI:10.5194/os-18-1725-2022
Pia Kolb, A. Zorndt, H. Burchard, U. Gräwe, F. Kösters
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Abstract. The Weser estuary has been subject to profound changes in topography in the past 100 years through natural variations and river engineering measures, leading to strong changes in hydrodynamics. These changes are also expected to have affected the dynamics of saltwater intrusion. Using numerical modelling, we examined saltwater intrusion in the Weser estuary in four different system states (1966, 1972, 1981, 2012). Models of each system state were set up with the respective topography and boundary values. We calibrated and validated each model individually to account for differences in sediments, bedforms, and the resolution of underlying bathymetric data between historical and recent system states. In simulations of 1 hydrological year, each with realistic forcing (hindcasting study), the influence of topography is overshadowed by the effects of other factors, particularly river discharge. At times of identical discharge, results indicate a landward shift of the salinity front between 1966 and 2012. Subsequent simulations with different topographies but identical boundary conditions (scenario study) confirm that topography changes in the Weser estuary affected saltwater intrusion. Solely through the topography changes, at a discharge of 300 m3 s−1, the position of the tidally averaged and depth-averaged salinity front shifted landwards by about 2.5 km between 1972 and 1981 and by another 1 km between 1981 and 2012. These changes are significant but comparatively small, since due to seasonal variations in run-off, the tidally averaged saltwater intrusion can vary by more than 20 km. An analysis of the salt flux through a characteristic cross section showed that saltwater intrusion in the Weser estuary is primarily driven by tidal pumping and only to a lesser degree due to estuarine circulation. However, results indicate that the contribution of individual processes has changed in response to anthropogenic measures.
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模拟人为措施对Weser河口盐水入侵的影响
摘要在过去的100年里,由于自然变化和河流工程措施,威悉河口的地形发生了深刻的变化,导致了强烈的水动力变化。预计这些变化也会影响盐水入侵的动态。利用数值模拟,我们研究了四种不同系统状态下(1966年、1972年、1981年和2012年)weser河口的盐水入侵。用各自的地形和边界值建立了系统各状态的模型。我们分别校准和验证了每个模型,以解释沉积物、床型的差异,以及历史和最近系统状态之间潜在水深数据的分辨率。在1个水文年的模拟中,地形的影响被其他因素,特别是河流流量的影响所掩盖。在相同的流量时期,结果表明盐度前缘在1966年至2012年间向陆地移动。随后对不同地形但边界条件相同的模拟(情景研究)证实,威悉河口的地形变化影响了盐水的入侵。仅通过地形变化,在流量为300 m3 s−1时,潮汐平均和深度平均盐度的位置在1972 - 1981年间向陆地前沿移动了约2.5 km,在1981 - 2012年间又向陆地前沿移动了1 km。这些变化是显著的,但相对较小,因为由于径流的季节变化,潮汐平均盐水入侵可以变化超过20公里。通过特征剖面对盐通量的分析表明,Weser河口的盐水入侵主要由潮汐泵送驱动,只有较小程度的受河口环流驱动。然而,结果表明,个别过程的贡献已经随着人为措施的变化而变化。
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来源期刊
Ocean Science
Ocean Science 地学-海洋学
CiteScore
5.90
自引率
6.20%
发文量
78
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Ocean Science (OS) is a not-for-profit international open-access scientific journal dedicated to the publication and discussion of research articles, short communications, and review papers on all aspects of ocean science: experimental, theoretical, and laboratory. The primary objective is to publish a very high-quality scientific journal with free Internet-based access for researchers and other interested people throughout the world. Electronic submission of articles is used to keep publication costs to a minimum. The costs will be covered by a moderate per-page charge paid by the authors. The peer-review process also makes use of the Internet. It includes an 8-week online discussion period with the original submitted manuscript and all comments. If accepted, the final revised paper will be published online. Ocean Science covers the following fields: ocean physics (i.e. ocean structure, circulation, tides, and internal waves); ocean chemistry; biological oceanography; air–sea interactions; ocean models – physical, chemical, biological, and biochemical; coastal and shelf edge processes; paleooceanography.
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