Reforms for Export-Led and Manufacturing-Fed Growth

A. Panagariya
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Abstract

The near absence of large enterprises in the manufacture of labor-intensive products and consequent failure of such products in export markets is the reason for the paucity of good jobs for those with limited skills in India. To change this, India needs a clear focus on export expansion. It must avoid falling into the import-substitution trap that kept the country poor for decades. The rupee must depreciate sufficiently to eliminate its current overvaluation. Tariffs must be lowered and rationalized. Particularly important is to eliminate duties on synthetic fabrics and fibers. All indirect taxes must be reimbursed to exporters. Free trade agreements must be forged with countries that have potentially large markets. Trade facilitation must allow rapid movement of goods within the country and at ports. Finally, markets for labor and land must be liberalized. It will be worthwhile, though politically challenging, to experiment with autonomous employment zones that provide flexible land and labor markets within large areas.
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出口导向型和制造业驱动型增长的改革
在印度,几乎没有生产劳动密集型产品的大型企业,因此这些产品在出口市场上失败,这是技术有限的人找不到好工作的原因。要改变这种状况,印度需要明确关注出口扩张。它必须避免陷入进口替代陷阱,这种陷阱使该国几十年来一直处于贫困状态。卢比必须充分贬值,以消除目前的高估。关税必须降低并合理化。特别重要的是取消对合成织物和纤维的关税。所有间接税必须退还给出口商。必须与拥有巨大潜在市场的国家缔结自由贸易协定。贸易便利化必须允许货物在国内和港口快速流动。最后,劳动力和土地市场必须自由化。尽管在政治上具有挑战性,但尝试在大范围内提供灵活土地和劳动力市场的自主就业区是值得的。
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