Net Systemic Risk

Woongki Lee
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Abstract

The emphasis of this paper is on understanding the proliferation of financial institutions beyond movements of the entire market, namely, systemic risk net of systematic risk. I present economic foundation for this new notion of risk I term “net systemic risk” and propose two metrics: Net Systemic Risk (NSR) and Reverse Net Systemic Risk (RevNSR). I also provide a theoretical link between net systemic risk and other risk classes including total, systemic, systematic, and idiosyncratic risk. The empirical analysis for NSR and RevNSR demonstrates that these measures would be able to predict systemic pressure during the financial crisis of 2007-2009.
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净系统性风险
本文的重点是理解金融机构在整个市场运动之外的扩散,即系统风险的系统风险网。我提出了我称之为“净系统风险”的新风险概念的经济基础,并提出了两个指标:净系统风险(NSR)和反向净系统风险(RevNSR)。我还提供了净系统性风险和其他风险类别(包括总风险、系统性风险、系统性风险和特殊风险)之间的理论联系。对NSR和RevNSR的实证分析表明,这些指标能够预测2007-2009年金融危机期间的系统性压力。
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