Why Myths in Neoclassical Economics Threaten the World Economy: A Post-Keynesian Manifesto

G. Harcourt, Peter Kriesler, J. Nevile
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

There is a myth underlying neoclassical economic analysis of a 'Western' economy, which is that in anything but the relatively short run, defined as the length of a business cycle, the economy reaches an equilibrium position determined entirely by supply side factors and unaffected by measures taken to increase aggregate demand during a slump. This myth is not based on any factual analysis, it is simply assumed. It threatens the wellbeing of the world economy because it allows those who hold it to deny there is any need to change the deregulated state of the international financial sector, that caused the global crisis which started in 2007 and the effects of which have persisted ever since. The fundamental myth has a number of corollaries, which are worth calling associated myths. One of the most important is that the composition of spending to increase aggregate demand during a slump is irrelevant, so that it does not matter if the spending is directed towards consumer goods or to increasing physical and human capital. Another is that monetary policy has a more desirable impact on the economy than does fiscal policy. The paper focuses on neo-classical growth theory; comparative static implications are not considered. Finally, the policy implications are discussed.
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新古典经济学中的神话为何威胁世界经济:后凯恩斯主义宣言
新古典经济学对“西方”经济的分析背后有一个神话,即在相对短期(定义为商业周期的长度)之外的任何情况下,经济都会达到完全由供给侧因素决定的均衡位置,而不受在衰退期间采取措施增加总需求的影响。这个神话不是基于任何事实分析,只是假设而已。它威胁到世界经济的福祉,因为它允许持有这种观点的人否认有必要改变国际金融部门的放松管制状态,这种状态导致了始于2007年的全球危机,其影响一直持续至今。基本神话有许多推论,这些推论值得称为关联神话。其中最重要的一点是,在经济衰退期间,增加总需求的支出构成是无关紧要的,因此,支出是用于消费品还是用于增加物质和人力资本都无关紧要。另一个原因是,货币政策对经济的影响比财政政策更可取。本文主要研究新古典增长理论;不考虑比较静态的影响。最后,讨论了政策影响。
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