Efficiency of MIKE-NAM model for runoff modeling using artificial intelligence

A. Slieman, D. Kozlov
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Abstract

Introduction. The ability of runoff modeling is an essential step in the hydrologic modeling process and therefore water ba­lance studies, therefore, this study aims to verify the ability and reliability of the MIKE 11NAM program in modeling runoff, in the upper basin of Orontes River in Syria, with the use of artificial intelligence models to fill the gaps in runoff time series. Materials and methods. In this study, models of artificial neural networks and fuzzy inference models were used and they were compared with each other to determine the best model in order to fill the gaps in the surface runoff data at Al-Jawadiyah and Al-Amiri stations. Then the results were used in the modeling process using the MIKE 11 NAM program. Results. The results showed a high reliability of artificial intelligence models, whether neural networks or fuzzy inference models, with a relative preference for neural networks, and after using these results within the data required for modeling in the Mike program, it was found that there are large differences between the observed and simulated values due to the lack of existing data on the study area. Conclusions. This study recommends to continue research on the issue of hydrological modeling in case of lack of data and to compare between different models to find the best way to solve this problem.
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基于人工智能的MIKE-NAM模型径流建模效率研究
介绍。径流模拟能力是水文建模过程中必不可少的一步,也是水平衡研究的重要一步,因此,本研究旨在验证MIKE 11NAM程序在叙利亚Orontes河上游流域模拟径流的能力和可靠性,利用人工智能模型来填补径流时间序列的空白。材料和方法。为了填补Al-Jawadiyah和Al-Amiri站地表径流数据的空白,本研究采用人工神经网络模型和模糊推理模型进行比较,确定最佳模型。然后利用MIKE 11nam程序将结果用于建模过程中。结果。结果表明,人工智能模型,无论是神经网络还是模糊推理模型,都具有较高的可靠性,并且相对偏爱神经网络,并且在Mike程序中建模所需的数据中使用这些结果后,发现由于研究区域缺乏现有数据,观测值与模拟值之间存在较大差异。结论。本研究建议在数据不足的情况下,继续对水文建模问题进行研究,并对不同的模型进行比较,寻找解决这一问题的最佳途径。
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9
审稿时长
12 weeks
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