Extension of generalized Poisson log-linear regression models for analysing three-way contingency table: Application to malaria data

Shehu Bala, Usman Abubakar Umar
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Abstract

Abstract This study presents the extension of generalized Poisson (GP-1 and GP-2) models for three-way contingency table. We assume a mixed systematic component of the log-linear models for contingency tables to produce a linear transformation for the link function of Generalized Linear Models (GLMs). Maximum likelihood estimation method was derived for the parameters estimates of the models. An over-dispersed malaria data of 2019 was considered for the study. The GP-1 and GP-2 models for three-way contingency table was used to model the data. Based on Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) goodness-of-fits measures, the GP-2 model outperformed the GP-1 model for three-way contingency table on malaria data. We found that some parameters of the full model were statistically significant as; malaria cases was sensitive to all ages considered in the study, and people were more infected with malaria in the month of April, June, and July 2019.
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广义泊松对数线性回归模型在三元列联表分析中的推广:在疟疾数据中的应用
摘要研究了三向列联表的广义泊松(GP-1和GP-2)模型的推广。我们假设列联表的对数线性模型的混合系统成分,以产生广义线性模型(GLMs)的链接函数的线性变换。导出了模型参数估计的极大似然估计方法。该研究考虑了2019年过度分散的疟疾数据。采用三元列联表的GP-1和GP-2模型对数据进行建模。基于赤池信息准则(Akaike Information Criterion, AIC)和贝叶斯信息准则(Bayesian Information Criterion, BIC)拟合优度度量,GP-2模型在疟疾数据的三元列联表上优于GP-1模型。我们发现整个模型的一些参数在统计学上显著为;疟疾病例对研究中考虑的所有年龄段都敏感,2019年4月、6月和7月的人群感染疟疾较多。
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