The Interaction Between the Choice of Currency Settlement and RMB Monetary policy

Shanshan Wang, Xinran Peng
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

It is been 12 years since China began to settle cross-border trade in RMB in 2009. It is of great significance to analyze the interactive relationship between the choice of monetary pricing and settlement and monetary policy in China. Based on the latest data from the first quarter of 2009 to 2021, this paper studies the interaction between the use of RMB and the interest rate policy and exchange rate policy in RMB monetary policy. Through VAR model, ADF test, cointegration test and Granger causality test, it is concluded that RMB denomination and settlement (CRM) is the Granger cause of broad money supply (M2). Finally, this paper puts forward three suggestions from the perspective of monetary policy makers, the most important of which is that China needs to improve the exchange rate system and monetary policy interest rate transmission mechanism to further promote the internationalization of RMB.
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货币结算选择与人民币货币政策的互动关系
中国从2009年开始使用人民币进行跨境贸易结算,至今已有12年。分析中国货币定价结算选择与货币政策之间的互动关系具有重要意义。本文基于2009年第一季度至2021年的最新数据,研究人民币货币政策中人民币使用与利率政策、汇率政策的互动关系。通过VAR模型、ADF检验、协整检验和格兰杰因果检验,得出人民币计价结算(CRM)是广义货币供应量(M2)的格兰杰原因。最后,本文从货币政策制定者的角度提出了三点建议,其中最重要的是中国需要完善汇率制度和货币政策利率传导机制,以进一步推动人民币国际化。
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