Does Kyrgyz banking system liquidity provide economic growth?

IF 1.4 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Millennium - Journal of International Studies Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI:10.14254/2071-8330.2022/15-4/15
I. Hoxha, N. Atabaev, Begimai Marlenova, Gulnaz Atabaeva, I. Keles
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Abstract

The relationship between the liquidity ratio, the economy and the banking system of a country is a popular subject among academics. This research aims to understand this connection for Kyrgyzstan, a developing economy. The Vector Auto Regression approach was used to trace the association of liquidity ratio to loan and deposit volumes, interest income, net interest income, treasury bill volume, and gross domestic product based on the quarterly data. The data was obtained from various publications of the National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic. The primary literature indicates that bank liquidity has an inverse correlation not only with bank profitability but also with economic growth. The findings confirm a similar relationship for Kyrgyzstan. Furthermore, liquidity has a positive relationship to treasury bills volume, but a negative correlation to economic growth. However, there was no significant correlation between the liquidity ratio and deposit volumes. Therefore, this paper found that high liquidity ratio of the Kyrgyz banking system negatively effects both the profitability of the banks and economic growth.
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吉尔吉斯斯坦银行体系的流动性是否提供了经济增长?
流动性比率与一国经济和银行体系之间的关系一直是学术界关注的热点问题。本研究旨在了解吉尔吉斯斯坦这个发展中经济体的这种联系。以季度数据为基础,采用向量自回归方法,追踪流动性比率与存贷款量、利息收入、净利息收入、国库券量和国内生产总值之间的关系。这些数据是从吉尔吉斯共和国国家银行的各种出版物中获得的。初步文献表明,银行流动性不仅与银行盈利能力呈负相关,而且与经济增长呈负相关。研究结果证实了吉尔吉斯斯坦的类似关系。此外,流动性与国库券数量呈正相关,但与经济增长呈负相关。然而,流动性比率与存款量之间没有显著的相关性。因此,本文发现吉尔吉斯斯坦银行体系的高流动性比率对银行的盈利能力和经济增长都有负面影响。
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CiteScore
3.10
自引率
8.00%
发文量
17
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