{"title":"Monthly rainfall forecasting model with hidden periodicities","authors":"C. Shi, Huiming Wang, Fancheng Yin","doi":"10.1109/IFOST.2011.6021244","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper models the monthly rainfall series by SARIMA and spectrum methods. The hidden periodicities of unspecified frequency are resolved by periodogram, Fisher's test and Kolmogorov-Simirnov test. Then the presence of a non-sinusoidal periodic component with specified integer-value period is confirmed. For comparison, SARIMA models are also established for prediction.","PeriodicalId":20466,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of 2011 6th International Forum on Strategic Technology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2011-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"3","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proceedings of 2011 6th International Forum on Strategic Technology","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/IFOST.2011.6021244","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Abstract
This paper models the monthly rainfall series by SARIMA and spectrum methods. The hidden periodicities of unspecified frequency are resolved by periodogram, Fisher's test and Kolmogorov-Simirnov test. Then the presence of a non-sinusoidal periodic component with specified integer-value period is confirmed. For comparison, SARIMA models are also established for prediction.
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