Investment Portfolio Optimization Model Using The Markowitz Model

Emmanuel Parulian Sirait, Y. Salih, R. A. Hidayana
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Abstract

The stock portfolio is related to how someone allocates several shares in various types of investments so that the results achieve maximum profit. By implementing a diversification system or portfolio optimization on several stocks, investors can reduce the level of risk and simultaneously optimize the expected rate of return. This study aims to determine which stocks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) and included in the portfolio for the 2021-2022 period are eligible to be included in the optimal portfolio and to determine the proportion of funds for each share in the formation of the optimal portfolio. The population in this study are all shares included in the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the 2021-2022 period. The sample of this research is five stocks that are candidate portfolios. The sampling method uses a purposive sampling method with the criteria of 5 stocks with the highest positive ratio. The population in this study was all 30 companies included in the IDX30, while the samples were five companies. Data were analyzed using a mean-variant optimization model with a research duration between May 2021 and May 2022. Based on the results of the investment portfolio optimization analysis on the 5 (five) selected stocks, this study shows that, out of 23 stocks, five stocks are eligible to enter the optimal portfolio with their respective proportions, namely PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk (ADRO) 20%, PT Astra International Tbk (ASII) 26%, PT Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk (MDKA) 10%, PT XL Axiata Tbk (EXCL) 19%, PT Bukit Asam Tbk (PTBA) 25%. The portfolio of these stocks generates an expected return of 0.00217 at a risk level of 0.00022. It is hoped that this research can be helpful to add to the literature on investment optimization models, especially the concentration of Mathematics in Finance, and serve as an additional reference for further research, as well as an alternative for investors in optimizing investment portfolios.
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基于马科维茨模型的投资组合优化模型
股票投资组合是指一个人如何在不同类型的投资中分配几股股票,以获得最大的利润。通过对多只股票实施分散投资或优化投资组合,投资者可以降低风险水平,同时优化预期回报率。本研究旨在确定哪些在印尼证券交易所(IDX)上市并在2021-2022年期间纳入投资组合的股票有资格纳入最优投资组合,并确定在形成最优投资组合中,每个股票的资金比例。本研究中的人口是2021-2022年期间在印度尼西亚证券交易所(IDX)上市的印度尼西亚证券交易所(IDX)的所有股票。本研究的样本是作为候选投资组合的五只股票。抽样方法采用有目的抽样法,以5只正比最高的个股为标准。本研究的人口为IDX30公司中的全部30家公司,样本为5家公司。研究期间为2021年5月至2022年5月,采用均值变异优化模型对数据进行分析。根据对所选5(5)只股票的投资组合优化分析结果,本研究表明,在23只股票中,有5只股票符合进入最优投资组合的条件,分别是PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk (ADRO) 20%、PT Astra International Tbk (ASII) 26%、PT Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk (MDKA) 10%、PT XL Axiata Tbk (EXCL) 19%、PT Bukit Asam Tbk (PTBA) 25%。这些股票的投资组合在风险水平为0.00022时产生0.00217的预期回报。希望本研究能够对投资优化模型的文献,特别是金融学中数学的集中有所补充,为进一步的研究提供参考,也为投资者优化投资组合提供一种选择。
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