Associations Between Mobility Indices and the COVID-19 Pandemic in Thailand

Pitchaporn Inthisorn, Nattapong Puttanapong
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Abstract

This study aims to examine the associations between the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and alternative indicators. Specifically, Apple mobility index, Google community mobility index, and Nighttime-light (NTL) data are used for empirical analyses using ordinary least squares (OLS) and panel regressions as research methods. Results produced by OLS models show that Apple’s subcategory of driving activity and Google’s subcategory of visiting transit places are negatively associated with the number of COVID-19 cases. To extend the spatiotemporal details of this analysis, we formulate the panel data by integrating the monthly provincial indicators of Apple mobility index, NTL index, and the COVID-19 infected cases. Both fixed- and random-effects panel regression models indicate that Apple’s driving and walking mobility subcategories are negatively associated with the COVID-19 infected cases. By contrast, the relationship between the NTL index and the intensity of the COVID-19 outbreak is inconclusive. These findings suggest that Apple's mobility index can be applied as an alternative and timely indicator of economic activity, particularly for observing the near real-time intensity of mobility and transportation volume. In addition, these findings can serve as a resource for developing spatial models for urban planning and geographical impacts.
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泰国流动指数与COVID-19大流行之间的关系
本研究旨在研究2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行与替代指标之间的关系。具体而言,采用普通最小二乘法(OLS)和面板回归方法,利用苹果移动指数、谷歌社区移动指数和夜间灯光(NTL)数据进行实证分析。OLS模型的结果显示,苹果的驾驶活动子类别和谷歌的访问过境地点子类别与COVID-19病例数呈负相关。为了扩展分析的时空细节,我们将苹果移动指数、NTL指数和COVID-19感染病例的月度省级指标整合在一起,形成面板数据。固定效应和随机效应面板回归模型均表明,苹果公司的驾驶和步行流动性子类别与COVID-19感染病例呈负相关。相比之下,NTL指数与COVID-19暴发强度之间的关系尚无定论。这些发现表明,苹果公司的流动性指数可以作为经济活动的替代和及时指标,特别是在观察流动性和运输量的近实时强度方面。此外,这些发现可以作为开发城市规划和地理影响空间模型的资源。
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