Resilience assessment of a subsea pipeline using dynamic Bayesian network

Abstract

Microbiologically influenced corrosion (MIC) is a serious concern and plays a significant role in the marine and subsea industry’s infrastructure failure. A probabilistic methodology is introduced in the present study to assess the subsea system’s resilience under MIC. Conventionally, the risk-based models are constructed using the system’s characteristic features. This helps decision-makers understand how a system operates and how the failed system can be recovered. The subsea system needs to be designed with sufficient resilience to maintain the performance under the time-varying interdependent stochastic conditions. This paper presents the dynamic Bayesian network-based approach to model the subsea system’s resilience as a function of time. An industry-based application study of the subsea pipeline is studied to demonstrate the efficiency and effectiveness of the proposed methodology for the resilience assessment. The proposed methodology will assist decision-makers in considering the resilience in the system design and operation.