DEMAND FOR GASOLINE IN JAPAN

IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ECONOMICS International Journal of Transport Economics Pub Date : 2007-10-01 DOI:10.1400/80991
R. Koshal, Manjulika Koshal, Yuko Yamada, S. Miyazima, Keizo Yamamoto
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引用次数: 11

Abstract

A partial adjustment model is suggested and estimated by this study in order to explore the relationship between per capita income, price of substitute goods, and price of gasoline in Japan. The suggested model is estimated through application of the ordinary squares methods to 1957-99 time-series data. That income, price of substitute goods, price of gasoline, and previous consumption behavior are significant variables in determining gasoline consumption in Japan is suggested through study statistical analysis. In the short run, gasoline demand elasticity is inelastic with respect to income and price, 0.296 and -0.115 respectively. In the long run, however, with respect to gasoline demands, there is a tendency for income to be slightly elastic, 1.056, with price elasticity remaining inelastic, -0.411.
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日本的汽油需求
为了探讨日本人均收入、代用品价格和汽油价格之间的关系,本研究提出并估计了一个部分调整模型。采用普通平方法对1957- 1999年的时间序列数据进行了估计。通过研究统计分析,提出收入、代用品价格、汽油价格和以往消费行为是决定日本汽油消费的重要变量。短期内,汽油需求弹性相对于收入和价格是非弹性的,分别为0.296和-0.115。然而,从长期来看,就汽油需求而言,收入有轻微弹性的趋势,为1.056,价格弹性保持无弹性,为-0.411。
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