Analysis on Supply Chain Risk Factors of Prefabricated Buildings Using AHP-DEMATEL-ISM Model

Abstract

: Given the numerous participants in the supply chain of prefabricated buildings and the great difficulty in improving risk management and control level, influencing factors through the literature review method were identified. Then, 7 first-level indexes and 23 second-level indexes were extracted. An influence index system for supply chain risks of prefabricated buildings was established. Comprehensively considering the importance and correlation of various influencing factors, the AHP-DEMATEL (Analytic Hierarchy Process and Decision-making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory) combined model was constructed, which solved the one-sided problem of the weight result of a single model. Then, the ISM (Interpretative Structural Modelling) model could be used to show the characteristics of the structural relationship of influencing factors hierarchically, and the fundamental supply chain risk factors were more accurately and clearly explored using the AHP-DEMATEL-ISM model. Results show that: (1) Logistics transportation distance, damage to prefabricated components during transportation, and unreasonable control of assembly period are the fundamental factors affecting the risk of prefabricated buildings, among which logistics transportation distance and damage to prefabricated components during transportation are the resulting factors, and the unreasonable control of the assembly period is the causal factor, but the factor weight is low because of the difficulty in short-term improvement. (2) Component production technology and equipment, transportation distance, and punctuality of product supply account for a high weight in the supply chain risk assessment index system of prefabricated buildings. (3) A total of 11 factors, such as inconformity of product design and standard, immature design technology level, component production technology and equipment, and quality of purchased materials, affect the supply chain risk of prefabricated buildings and are also causal factors with high weights. Conclusions obtained in the study provide a theoretical basis for the supply chain risk control of prefabricated buildings to a certain extent and also present a new perspective for the supply chain risk assessment of prefabricated buildings.