Polarisation and Electoral Realignment: The Case of the Right-Wing Parties in Spain

IF 3.7 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE South European Society and Politics Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI:10.1080/13608746.2021.1901386
Juan Rodríguez-Teruel
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引用次数: 12

Abstract

ABSTRACT The article analyses the consequences of elite polarisation at the mass level. We study the electoral re-alignment within the right-wing Spanish electorate in recent years, whereby support for the long-predominant Partido Popular has been eroded dramatically to the benefit of new challengers. Measuring ideological polarisation at the party system level and at the individual level, we show how the polarising strategy implemented by the liberal Ciudadanos – and imitated by PP – to gain support from the right-wing electorate paved the way for a massive transfer of conservative voters to the radical-right Vox. The results provide counter-intuitive evidence about the electoral effects of elite polarisation: those individuals who perceived party polarisation less tended to vote more for the radical right party, while those who perceived greater polarisation among parties were more likely to vote for moderate forces.
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两极分化与选举调整:以西班牙右翼政党为例
本文分析了精英阶层分化在大众层面的后果。我们研究了近年来西班牙右翼选民的选举重组,长期占据主导地位的西班牙人民党(Partido Popular)的支持率大幅下降,从而有利于新的挑战者。通过在政党体系层面和个人层面衡量意识形态的两极分化,我们展示了由自由派公民党(Ciudadanos)实施并被人民党模仿的两极分化战略是如何获得右翼选民的支持,从而为保守派选民大规模转向极右翼选民铺平了道路。研究结果为精英分化对选举的影响提供了反直觉的证据:那些认为政党分化程度较低的人倾向于更多地投票给激进的右翼政党,而那些认为政党分化程度较高的人更有可能投票给温和派。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
21.20%
发文量
14
期刊介绍: A leading point of reference for scholars of Southern Europe, South European Society and Politics promotes both comparative and inter-disciplinary analyses, as well as offering innovative single county and sub-national studies. The journal acts as a forum for social, economic, cultural, contemporary historical and political approaches to research on the region, and is particularly keen to sponsor policy–focused studies in all these disciplines. The journal publishes research articles; South European Atlas with election reports and articles on other subjects of topical interest, and an extensive book reviews section, including both review articles and individual book reviews.
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