The Interactions between Covid-19 Cases in Turkey, the VIX Index and Major Sector Indexes

E. Demirel, Feyza Arica
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Abstract

"The COVID-19 pandemic, which started in China in December 2019, caused the great economic recession for about ten years, threatening health, devastating economic activity, and hurting well-being and jobs. The COVID-19 crisis is one the largest globally public health and economic crisis. The COVID-19 pandemic has affected economic activities across various sectors, including tourism, supply of medical equipment, global supply chains, electronic and financial markets, energy, and food services, while also significantly impacting social activities. This paper investigates the impact of S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) on returns of the six sector indexes, informatics index, food index, real estate investment trust index, textile index, tourism index and Bank index from 11 March 2020 to 28 May 2021 in Turkey. Using the VAR analysis method, the results of the empirical study showed that the responses of the other indexes except for Bank index to VIX index are negative at the first. Contrary to these reactions, Bank index return reacts positively to the VIX index."
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土耳其Covid-19病例、波动率指数和主要行业指数之间的相互作用
“2019年12月在中国爆发的COVID-19大流行造成了大约十年的经济大衰退,威胁到健康,破坏了经济活动,损害了福祉和就业。新冠肺炎危机是全球最大的公共卫生和经济危机之一。2019冠状病毒病大流行影响了各个部门的经济活动,包括旅游、医疗设备供应、全球供应链、电子和金融市场、能源和食品服务,同时也严重影响了社会活动。本文研究了2020年3月11日至2021年5月28日土耳其标准普尔500指数波动率指数(VIX)对六个行业指数、信息指数、食品指数、房地产投资信托指数、纺织指数、旅游指数和银行指数回报的影响。运用VAR分析方法,实证研究结果表明,除银行指数外,其他指数对VIX指数的响应首先为负。与这些反应相反,银行指数回报对VIX指数反应积极。”
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