GLOBAL PROSPECTS FOR BIOENERGY SECTOR

G. Geletukha, T. Zheliezna
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Abstract

The aim of the work is to analyze some global scenarios for bioenergy development, including the development in certain sectors, as well as to identify priority areas for bioenergy in Ukraine. Today, bioenergy is a world leader in renewable energy, playing a significant role in replacing fossil fuels and reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Over the last twenty years, the global primary energy supply from biomass and biofuels has tripled and reached more than 10% of the total primary energy supply, accounting for almost 70% of the contribution of all renewable sources. The International Renewable Energy Agency predicts that by 2050, renewable energy sources could account for 60% or more of the total final energy consumption of many countries. The share of biomass in the global final consumption of renewable energy might be almost half in 2030 and 40% in 2050. According to the International Energy Agency, starting from 2030, one can expect to use only modern bioenergy technologies with increasing consumption of modern biomass up to about 100 EJ in 2050. For Ukraine, the priority areas seem to be combined heat and power production from biomass, as well as production of biomethane for the direct replacement of natural gas and carbon-neutral balancing of the energy system with a high share of renewable sources. For the thermal energy sector, the introduction of modern boilers and CHP plants running mainly on agricultural biomass is recommended. For the transport sector, prospects are the production of first and second generation liquid biofuels, as well as biomethane from biomass obtained in compliance with sustainability criteria.
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生物能源行业的全球前景
这项工作的目的是分析生物能源发展的一些全球情景,包括某些部门的发展,以及确定乌克兰生物能源的优先领域。如今,生物能源在可再生能源领域处于世界领先地位,在替代化石燃料和减少温室气体排放方面发挥着重要作用。在过去的二十年里,来自生物质能和生物燃料的全球初级能源供应量增加了两倍,达到了初级能源总供应量的10%以上,占所有可再生能源贡献的近70%。国际可再生能源机构预测,到2050年,可再生能源可能占许多国家最终能源消耗总量的60%或更多。到2030年,生物质能在全球可再生能源最终消费中的份额可能接近一半,到2050年可能达到40%。根据国际能源署的数据,从2030年开始,人们可以期望只使用现代生物能源技术,到2050年,现代生物质能的消费量将增加到100 EJ左右。对乌克兰来说,优先领域似乎是生物质的热电联产,以及直接替代天然气的生物甲烷生产,以及利用高比例的可再生能源实现能源系统的碳中和平衡。对于热能部门,建议采用以农业生物质为主要动力的现代锅炉和热电联产厂。对于运输部门,前景是生产第一代和第二代液体生物燃料,以及从符合可持续性标准的生物质中获得的生物甲烷。
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