Strategies to alleviate the unusual effects of climate change on crop production: a thirsty and warm future, low crop quality. A review

M. Janmohammadi, N. Sabaghnia
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Abstract

Climate change is one of the most common challenges in semiarid regions, which are affected by such constraints as drought, heat stress, and decreased soil fertility. The most important consequences of climate change – rising temperature, decreasing rainfall, and deteriorating quality of some crops – are studied in detail in this review. The main future climate scenarios in semiarid regions include decreased precipitation with highly irregular and unpredictable distribution patterns, with most rainfall concentrated over winter months, prolonged dry spells, early heat stress, exacerbation of edaphic constraints such as reduced soil moisture content, reduced soil organic matter, reduced soil biodiversity, reduced critical nutrient availability, and, ultimately, fewer crop yields. Due to the moisture and soil constraints caused by climate change, the cropping system, crop succession, and soil tillage techniques will need a major overhaul, and this requires modifying soil management and fertilisation, design of some new agro-climatic zoning, including neglected and underutilised crop species in rotations, optimised sowing time windows, expanded irrigation, design of multi-functional cropping systems, conservation agriculture, some changes in agricultural equipment, and the use of climate-smart agriculture practices. Rising carbon dioxide concentrations will decrease nitrogen metabolism by reducing photorespiration, and this reduces the protein content of the grain and worsens the quality of the staple crops. Selection of climate-smart varieties, application of agro-inputs at the right time, right place, and right amount (precision agriculture), and the use of leading technologies such as nano for designing the smart fertiliser should be considered to overcome the adverse effects of climate anomalies.
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缓解气候变化对作物生产异常影响的策略:干旱和温暖的未来,低质量的作物。回顾
气候变化是半干旱地区最常见的挑战之一,这些地区受到干旱、热应激和土壤肥力下降等制约因素的影响。本文详细研究了气候变化最重要的后果——气温上升、降雨量减少和某些作物品质恶化。未来半干旱地区的主要气候情景包括降水减少,且分布模式高度不规则和不可预测,大部分降雨集中在冬季,干旱期延长,热胁迫提前,土壤水分含量降低、土壤有机质减少、土壤生物多样性减少、关键养分有效性降低等土壤约束加剧,最终导致作物产量下降。由于气候变化造成的水分和土壤限制,种植制度、作物演代和土壤耕作技术将需要进行重大改革,这需要修改土壤管理和施肥,设计一些新的农业气候区划,包括轮作中被忽视和未充分利用的作物品种,优化播种时间窗口,扩大灌溉,设计多功能种植系统,保护性农业,对农业设备进行一些改变,以及采用气候智能型农业做法。二氧化碳浓度升高会通过减少光呼吸作用而降低氮素代谢,从而降低籽粒蛋白质含量,使主粮作物品质恶化。为了克服气候异常的不利影响,应该考虑选择气候智能型品种,在正确的时间、地点和数量上应用农业投入物(精准农业),以及使用纳米等领先技术来设计智能肥料。
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