A Small Structural Monetary Policy Model for Small Open Economies with Debt Accumulation

Philippe D. Karam, A. Pagan
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引用次数: 8

Abstract

We extend a small New Keynesian structural model used for monetary policy analysis to address a richer class of policy issues that arise in open economy analysis. We draw a distinction between absorption and domestic output, and as the difference between the two is effectively the current account, there is now an explicit accumulation or decumulation of foreign liabilities in response to various shocks affecting the system. Such stock equilibria can now have an impact back on to the flows in the domestic economy. We perform simulations using parameters calibrated to the Canadian economy and compare the differences in impulse responses from the original model. Advantages in a forecasting environment owing to the ability to impose explicit projections about imports and exports are also exposed.
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具有债务积累的小型开放经济体的小结构货币政策模型
我们扩展了用于货币政策分析的小型新凯恩斯主义结构模型,以解决开放经济分析中出现的更丰富的政策问题。我们在吸收和国内产出之间做出了区分,由于两者之间的差额实际上是经常账户,因此现在有一种明确的外国负债积累或减记,以应对影响该体系的各种冲击。这种存量均衡现在可以对国内经济的流动产生影响。我们使用校准到加拿大经济的参数进行模拟,并比较原始模型的脉冲响应差异。由于能够对进出口作出明确预测,在预测环境方面的优势也暴露出来。
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