A Proposed Forecasting System for Wind Power in Smart Grids

A. A. Abdullah
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Abstract

The increased level of embedded wind energy generation systems in smart grids posed increased daily challenges because of the intermittent nature of these systems. Forecasting of the generated power from the wind energy systems helps to deal with these challenges. In this paper, a proposed forecasting system for short term wind power prediction is presented. The proposed system is used to increase the accuracy of the forecasted value by creating multiple small datasets with the same features of the main dataset. A neuro-fuzzy model is created for each dataset. The output of each neuro-fuzzy model represents a forecasting of the wind turbine power (WTP). Thereafter, the output of all models is combined using a combination model to calculate the final forecasted WTP.
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一种智能电网风电功率预测系统
由于这些系统的间歇性,智能电网中嵌入式风能发电系统的水平不断提高,每天都面临着越来越多的挑战。预测风能系统的发电量有助于应对这些挑战。本文提出了一种用于风电短期预测的预测系统。该系统通过创建多个具有主数据集相同特征的小数据集来提高预测值的准确性。为每个数据集创建一个神经模糊模型。每个神经模糊模型的输出都代表了对风力发电功率的预测。然后,使用组合模型将所有模型的输出组合起来,计算最终预测的WTP。
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