Momentum Strategies: Profitability and Evaluation of Explanations on the Tunisian Market

S. Azri, Ezzeddine Abaoub
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Abstract

We examine the profitability of momentum strategies in the Tunisian stock market over the period (January 1998-December 2007). We adopt the methodology of Jegadeesh and Titman (1993). The results show that momentum strategies are profitable. We use the methodology of Lo and Mackinlay (1990) and the methodology of Jegadeesh and Titman (1995) to decompose the profits. The results confirm the hypothesis of risk’s recompense of profits. The profitability of momentum strategies not implies the inefficiency of stock market. It than implies the failure of stock pricing model. However, we find that the addition of the momentum factor and a sentiment variable to three factor model of Fama and French, improves the chronological description of portfolio returns.
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动量策略:赢利能力和突尼斯市场解释的评价
我们研究了突尼斯股票市场期间(1998年1月至2007年12月)动量策略的盈利能力。我们采用Jegadeesh和Titman(1993)的方法。结果表明,动量策略是有利可图的。我们使用Lo和Mackinlay(1990)的方法和Jegadeesh和Titman(1995)的方法来分解利润。研究结果证实了风险补偿利润的假设。动量策略的盈利性并不意味着股票市场的无效率。这意味着股票定价模型的失败。然而,我们发现在Fama和French的三因素模型中加入动量因素和情绪变量,改善了对投资组合收益的时间顺序描述。
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