Migración rural urbana e informalidad en las zonas metropolitanas de México. Una estimación de corto plazo

Abstract

This work estimates the impact of rural-urban migration from the period 2010-2015 on informality in metropolitan areas of Mexico. The estimation of ordinary least squares does not establish any effect, while the estimation with instrumental variables finds that exogenous rural urban migration increases informality. Other variables such as unemployment, labour participation and inequality are unaffected, indicating that informal sector allows to absorb changes in labour supply in the short term, albeit with possible negative effects on labour income of substitute workers.