Inherent Complexity and Early Warning of Zaozhuang Circular Economy System

Junhai Ma, Dexia Wang, Xiao Li, Bingnan Zhang
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Abstract

Based on China’s green energy development strategy, this paper constructs a basic model of recycling and a channel expansion model for the circular economy foundation of Zaozhuang, Shandong Province, China. Through numerical simulation, it is found that each member of the supply chain should control the rate of price adjustment, otherwise it will cause market disruption. The model is controlled based on a chaos control method. Then, based on the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, an early warning system for the circular economy of Zaozhuang City is constructed. It is found that the economic development of Zaozhuang is a serious warning, resources are moderate warning, and the environment is not in an alarm state. In addition to paying attention to energy conservation and emission reduction of enterprises, the government should pay attention to creating awareness of energy conservation and emission reduction in society, and strengthen the technological investment in reducing pollutant emissions. This paper provides a strategic reference for the circular economy model in Zaozhuang, Shandong, China.
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枣庄市循环经济系统的内在复杂性与预警
本文基于中国绿色能源发展战略,构建了山东枣庄循环经济基础的循环基本模型和渠道拓展模型。通过数值模拟发现,供应链的每个成员都应该控制价格调整的速度,否则会造成市场混乱。采用混沌控制方法对模型进行控制。然后,基于模糊综合评价法,构建了枣庄市循环经济发展预警体系。研究发现,枣庄市经济发展处于严重预警状态,资源处于中度预警状态,环境处于非预警状态。政府在重视企业节能减排的同时,也要重视在全社会树立节能减排意识,加强在减少污染物排放方面的技术投入。本文为山东枣庄循环经济模式的发展提供了战略参考。
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