A extended event trees based dynamic reliability analyzing method

Mengquan Tan, Shijian Zhu, Jia-shan Jin
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Abstract

System fault process can be cut off if failures can be fined in time after they occurred. But there must be enough time for failures can be detected. And the process time is longer; the higher probability fault process can be cut off. Failures considered in traditional event tree method are simplified as 0 or 1 (abnormal or normal) condition. But in dynamic reliability study, failures are not just considered as logic state of system. Failure parameters and subsequent failures would inference system course and its final condition. Extend event tree based dynamic reliability analysis method is studied in this paper. System dynamic characteristics after failures are considered in this method. And a simple system is analyzed in this paper. Analyzing results shown that, this method is effective in analyzing system dynamic reliability.
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基于扩展事件树的动态可靠性分析方法
如果能在故障发生后及时发现故障,则可以切断系统故障过程。但必须有足够的时间来检测故障。加工时间较长;高概率故障过程可以被切断。传统事件树法将故障简化为0或1(异常或正常)状态。但在动态可靠性研究中,故障不仅仅是系统的一种逻辑状态。故障参数和后续故障将推断系统的运行过程和最终状态。研究了基于扩展事件树的动态可靠性分析方法。该方法考虑了系统失效后的动态特性。并对一个简单的系统进行了分析。分析结果表明,该方法对系统动态可靠性分析是有效的。
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