Demand for Redistribution: Individuals’ Responses to Economic Setbacks

L. Martén
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引用次数: 16

Abstract

Although economic circumstances have been argued to be a major determining factor of attitudes to redistribution, there is little well identified evidence at the individual level. Utilizing a unique dataset, with detailed individual information,provides new and convincing evidence on the link between economic circumstances and demand for redistribution (in the form of bene ts and support). The Swedish National Election Studies are constructed as a rotating survey panel, which makes it possible to estimate the causal effect of economic changes. The empirical analysis shows that individuals who experience a job loss become considerably more supportive of redistribution. Yet, attitudes to redistribution return to their initial level as economic prospects improve, suggesting that the effect is only temporary. Despite the fact that a job loss also changes attitudes to the political parties, the probability to vote for the left-wing is not affected.
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再分配需求:个人对经济挫折的反应
虽然经济环境被认为是对再分配态度的一个主要决定因素,但在个人层面上几乎没有明确的证据。利用具有详细个人信息的独特数据集,为经济环境与再分配需求(以福利和支持的形式)之间的联系提供了新的令人信服的证据。瑞典全国选举研究是一个轮流调查小组,这使得估计经济变化的因果效应成为可能。实证分析表明,经历过失业的个人对再分配的支持程度大大提高。然而,随着经济前景的改善,对再分配的态度又回到了最初的水平,这表明这种影响只是暂时的。尽管失业也会改变人们对政党的态度,但投票给左翼的可能性不会受到影响。
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