DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS OF FORMER YUGOSLAV REPUBLICS IN THE DECADES PRIOR AND AFTER THE BREAKUP

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Abstract

Demographic features of the population in all the republics of former Yugoslavia were far better prior to the war which started in this area at the end of the 20th century. Although certain republics experienced decline of some demographic indicators during the 1980s, there were no assumptions that several decades later the situation would significantly worsen. During the period of almost half a century mean population age increased for almost ten years in all the republics. The share of the older persons increased, and the share of the younger persons decreased, which resulted in the increase of the age index. War victims, as well as emigration and decrease in the birth rate and the increase in mortality rate with other factors led to further decline in demographic state year by year. Population number fluctuations have been analysed for the period 1880-2011 (2013). Mean age, ageing index and youth index have been calculated for the demographic analysis. Demographic indicators were calculated on the basis of pre-war censuses (1971 and 1981) as well as on the basis of the censuses conducted at the beginning of the war and after the war in the 1990s and then compared. Precisely, the census data from 1991 were used together with two censuses conducted during the 21st century. The latest two censuses were not conducted at the same time in all newly formed countries, which additionally complicated the analysis.
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前南斯拉夫各共和国解体前后几十年的人口特征
前南斯拉夫所有共和国人口的人口特征在20世纪末在该地区开始的战争之前要好得多。虽然某些共和国在1980年代经历了某些人口指标的下降,但没有人认为几十年后情况会显著恶化。在几乎半个世纪的时间里,所有共和国的平均人口年龄几乎增加了十年。老年人所占比例增加,年轻人所占比例减少,导致年龄指数上升。战争受害者以及移民以及出生率下降和死亡率上升等因素导致人口状况逐年进一步下降。对1880-2011(2013年)期间的人口数量波动进行了分析。人口统计分析计算了平均年龄、老龄化指数和青年指数。人口统计指标是根据战前人口普查(1971年和1981年)以及战争开始时和战后在1990年代进行的人口普查计算的,然后进行比较。确切地说,1991年的人口普查数据与21世纪进行的两次人口普查数据一起使用。最近的两次人口普查并不是在所有新成立的国家同时进行的,这使分析更加复杂。
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