Investigating contributing factors to injury severity levels in crashes involving pedestrians and cyclists using latent class clustering analysis and mixed logit models

IF 2.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Journal of Transportation Safety & Security Pub Date : 2021-07-28 DOI:10.1080/19439962.2021.1958037
Shaojie Liu, Zijing Lin, W. Fan
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Abstract Vulnerable road users (VRUs) including pedestrians and cyclists tend to experience more severe injuries when they are involved in crashes compared with motorized vehicle users. Such concern has been expressed as an impediment to the promotion of environment-friendly transportation. To provide insights on the causes of crashes involving VRUs, this study aims to explore the underlying factors that contribute to VRUs injury severity levels and provide constructive recommendations to mitigate injury severity in crashes. In order to minimize heterogeneity existing in the collected data, a latent class clustering method is conducted to categorize collected crash records into different groups. Then the mixed logit models are developed for each cluster as well as the overall crash data. The analysis is conducted based on the crash data retrieved from the Highway Safety Information System (HSIS) from 2012 to 2016 in North Carolina. Distinguished sets of significant factors are identified for clusters with different dominant features. Some factors are found to yield different or even opposite effects in identified clusters, including male gender and non-roadway location. These findings would enhance the understanding of the vulnerable road user (VRU) injury severity mechanism and help policymakers to make reasoned and efficient decisions to improve safety.
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使用潜在类聚类分析和混合logit模型调查行人和骑自行车者碰撞中伤害严重程度的影响因素
与机动车使用者相比,包括行人和骑自行车者在内的弱势道路使用者(vru)在涉及碰撞时往往遭受更严重的伤害。有人表示,这种关切阻碍了促进环境友好型运输。为了深入了解涉及vru的碰撞原因,本研究旨在探索导致vru伤害严重程度的潜在因素,并为减轻碰撞中的伤害严重程度提供建设性建议。为了最大限度地减少收集到的数据的异质性,采用潜在类聚类方法将收集到的崩溃记录分为不同的组。然后对每个集群和整体碰撞数据建立混合logit模型。该分析是根据2012年至2016年在北卡罗来纳州高速公路安全信息系统(HSIS)中检索的事故数据进行的。对于具有不同优势特征的集群,识别出不同的显著因子集。在确定的集群中,有些因素会产生不同甚至相反的影响,包括男性性别和非道路位置。这些研究结果将有助于加深对道路弱势使用者伤害严重程度机制的认识,并有助于决策者做出合理、有效的决策以提高道路安全。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
15.40%
发文量
38
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