Alan Bollard, A Few Hares to Chase: The Life and Economics of Bill Phillips (Auckland University Press, Auckland, 2016)

S. Cornish
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Abstract

Alan Bollard, A Few Hares to Chase: The Life and Economics of Bill Phillips(Auckland University Press, Auckland, 2016)Thomas Carlyle called economics 'the dismal science'. Some aspects of economics may fairly be described as 'dismal'. But it would be a particularly harsh judgement - and an inaccurate one - if that description were applied to the discipline as a whole. If the increasing size of biographies (and autobiographies) of economists is used as the measure, it would appear that economists are anything but dismal. Take John Maynard Keynes, for example. Robert Skidelsky's life of Keynes covers three volumes, totalling some 1,758 pages; Donald Moggridge's single-volume biography of Keynes is 941 pages in length. And Keynes was only 62 when he died! Susan Howson's life of Lionel Robbins is 1,161 pages; Peter Groenewegen's life of Alfred Marshall is 864 pages; and Marjorie Harper's biography of Sir Douglas Copland, The Australian National University's first Vice-Chancellor, is 548 pages. These economists must have been doing some interesting things to warrant such prolonged engagement by their biographers - and most assuredly they did.Bill Phillips, the author of the eponymous 'Phillips Curve', and the subject of A Few Hares to Chase, was many things: modest, sober, unpretentious, imaginative, inquisitive and a genius; but rarely, if ever, dismal. Alan Bollard, the former Governor of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, and the author of this biography of Phillips, refers to his subject as 'remarkable'. And so he was. Here was a man born on a small dairy farm in 1914 in an obscure part of New Zealand, who went to local schools, qualified as an electrician after serving an apprenticeship with a local hydro-electric authority, worked for some years in the back blocks of New South Wales and Queensland, crossed Asia and Europe on the trans-Siberian railway before the outbreak of the Second World War, enlisted in the RAF in London, was captured by the Japanese while trying to escape at the fall of Singapore, spent the rest of the war in appalling conditions in prisoner-of-war camps at various locations on the island of Java, returned to London via New Zealand after the war, enrolled for a degree in sociology at the London School of Economics (LSE), successfully completed a PhD in economics at LSE, was appointed to one of the most prestigious chairs of economics in the world (the Tooke chair, which had previously been occupied by Friedrich Hayek), wrote one of the most cited articles in economics, accepted a research chair in economics at ANU and died in 1975 at the of 60, lecturing, at the University of Auckland, until the day before he died.Bollard has written a superb biography of the man, at once concise, elegant and extensively researched. The essential biographical details of Phillips's life are told against the backdrop of local and world history, with the contemporary events linked to the personal story in such a way that the two appear to be seamless. To achieve this feat successfully without appearing to be contrived is an exceptional skill, adding as it does to the pleasure of reading the book.During his undergraduate studies in sociology - for which he showed little interest or aptitude, and obtaining a poor third as a result - Phillips began to consider economics. With the assistance of another returned serviceman who was studying at LSE for an economics degree - Walter Newlyn - Phillips built a hydro-mechanical model of a Keynesian macro-economy, using perspex tanks and tubes through which water was pumped. The model, known commonly by the acronym MONIAC (Monetary National Income Automatic Computer), which went through a number of increasingly complex versions, demonstrated what might happen to output and employment if aggregate demand were to change or policy was altered. Senior economists at LSE, including James Meade and Lionel Robbins, quickly saw its potential as a teaching device and orders soon poured in from universities (the University of Melbourne acquired one), governments and central banks. …
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艾伦·博拉德,《几只野兔追逐:比尔·菲利普斯的生活与经济学》(奥克兰大学出版社,奥克兰,2016)
艾伦·博拉德,《几只野兔可追:比尔·菲利普斯的生活与经济学》(奥克兰大学出版社,奥克兰,2016)托马斯·卡莱尔称经济学为“沉闷的科学”。经济学的某些方面可以用“令人沮丧”来形容。但如果这种描述适用于整个学科,那将是一个特别苛刻的判断——而且是不准确的判断。如果以经济学家传记(和自传)的数量不断增加作为衡量标准,那么经济学家似乎一点也不令人沮丧。以约翰•梅纳德•凯恩斯(John Maynard Keynes)为例。罗伯特·斯基德尔斯基(Robert Skidelsky)的《凯恩斯生平》(life of Keynes)有三卷,共计约1758页;唐纳德·莫格里奇(Donald Moggridge)的单卷本凯恩斯传记长达941页。凯恩斯去世时才62岁!苏珊·豪森的《莱昂内尔·罗宾斯的一生》有1161页;Peter Groenewegen的阿尔弗雷德·马歇尔传记有864页;玛乔丽·哈珀为澳大利亚国立大学首任副校长道格拉斯·科普兰爵士撰写的传记长达548页。这些经济学家一定做了一些有趣的事情,才有理由让他们的传记作者如此长时间地参与其中——而且他们确实做了。比尔·菲利普斯是同名“菲利普斯曲线”的作者,也是《追逐几只野兔》一书的主人公,他具有许多特质:谦虚、冷静、朴实、富有想象力、好学,是个天才;但很少是令人沮丧的。Alan Bollard,新西兰储备银行前行长,也是菲利普斯传记的作者,称他的主题是“非凡的”。他确实是。就是一个人出生在一个小奶牛场1914年在新西兰的一个不起眼的一部分,谁去了当地的学校,后合格的电工学徒服务与当地水电权威,工作了几年在新南威尔士和昆士兰,穿过西伯利亚铁路亚洲和欧洲在第二次世界大战爆发之前,加入了英国皇家空军在伦敦,被日本人在试图逃跑的新加坡,度过剩下的战俘集中营骇人听闻的战争条件在爪哇岛上的不同位置,通过新西兰战争结束后返回伦敦,报名参加了一个社会学学位在伦敦经济学院(LSE),成功地完成了在伦敦政治经济学院经济学博士学位,被任命为一个世界上最著名的椅子的经济学(男女椅子,以前被弗里德里希•哈耶克),写了一个经济学的最常被引用的文章,他接受了澳大利亚国立大学经济学研究主席的职位,并于1975年去世,享年60岁,生前一直在奥克兰大学讲学,直到去世前一天。博拉德为他写了一本极好的传记,既简洁、优雅,又研究广泛。菲利普斯生活的重要传记细节是在当地和世界历史的背景下讲述的,当代事件与个人故事以这样一种方式联系在一起,两者似乎天衣无缝。成功地完成这一壮举而不显得做作是一种非凡的技能,它确实增加了阅读这本书的乐趣。在他的社会学本科学习期间,菲利普斯开始考虑经济学——他对这门学科几乎没有兴趣或天赋,结果只得了可怜的三分之一。在另一位在伦敦政治经济学院攻读经济学学位的归国军人沃尔特•纽林(Walter Newlyn)的帮助下,菲利普斯利用有机玻璃水箱和抽水管道,建立了凯恩斯宏观经济的流体力学模型。该模型通常以首字母缩略词MONIAC(货币国民收入自动计算机)而为人所熟知,它经历了许多越来越复杂的版本,证明了如果总需求发生变化或政策改变,产出和就业可能会发生什么。伦敦政治经济学院的高级经济学家,包括詹姆斯·米德和莱昂内尔·罗宾斯,很快就看到了它作为一种教学设备的潜力,大学(墨尔本大学获得了一台)、政府和央行的订单也很快涌来。...
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