Effect of Vaccination and Culling on the Dynamics of Rabies Transmission from Stray Dogs to Domestic Dogs

Demsis Dejene Hailemichael, G. K. Edessa, Koya Purnachandra Rao
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

In this paper, the population dynamics of rabies-infected dogs are studied. The mathematical model is constructed by dividing the dog population into two categories: stray dogs and domestic dogs. On the other hand, the rabies virus is likely to spread in both populations. In the current model, disease-controlling strategies such as vaccination and culling are applied, and their impact is studied. Both subpopulations of susceptible individuals are vaccinated to control disease spread. The current study assumes that stray dogs can transmit rabies to domestic dogs but not the other way around. Because domestic dogs are under the control of their owners, they are well vaccinated. The model is medically and analytically correct because the findings are idealistic and limited. The next-generation matrix technique is used to compute the effective reproductive amount, and also, each parameter is subjected to sensitivity analysis. The equilibrium point free from disease is discovered, demonstrating that it was asymptotically steady locally and globally. A conditionally global asymptotically stable point of endemic equilibrium is also discovered using the Lyapunov function method. The numerical simulation, which makes use of approximations for parameter values, shows that the most efficient method for avoiding rabies transmission is a combination of vaccination and the culling of infected stray dogs. Using MATLAB’s ode45, this numerical simulation investigation was carried out. Our early findings indicated that the annual dog birth rate is a critical factor in influencing the occurrence of rabies. In the body of the paper, the findings and discussion are organized logically.
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疫苗接种和扑杀对流浪狗向家养狗传播狂犬病动态的影响
本文对狂犬病感染犬的种群动态进行了研究。通过将狗的种群分为流浪狗和家养狗两类来构建数学模型。另一方面,狂犬病毒很可能在两个人群中传播。在目前的模型中,采用了疫苗接种和扑杀等疾病控制策略,并研究了它们的影响。两个易感个体亚群均接种疫苗以控制疾病传播。目前的研究假设流浪狗可以将狂犬病传播给家养狗,而不是相反。因为家狗是在主人的控制下,所以它们都接种了疫苗。该模型在医学上和分析上是正确的,因为研究结果是理想主义的和有限的。采用新一代矩阵技术计算有效繁殖量,并对各参数进行敏感性分析。发现了无病平衡点,证明了它是局部和全局渐近稳定的。利用Lyapunov函数方法,找到了一个局部平衡点的条件全局渐近稳定点。数值模拟表明,预防狂犬病传播最有效的方法是疫苗接种和扑杀感染的流浪狗相结合。利用MATLAB的ode45进行了数值模拟研究。我们的早期研究结果表明,犬年出生率是影响狂犬病发生的关键因素。在论文的主体部分,研究结果和讨论是有逻辑的。
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