Stressful Factors of Sustainable Development of the Russian Coal Industry

O. Chernova
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Abstract

Achieving sustainable development of the coal industry is of strategic importance for ensuring national security. The purpose of the article is to identify stress factors for the sustainable development of the coal industry associated with the current objective trends in the Russian and world economies. The hypothesis of the study is the assumption that understanding the stress factors for the sustainable development of the coal industry makes it possible to form industrial policy directions to prevent the development or minimize the consequences of existing negative trends that weaken the industry's potential in the long term. The novelty of the study is expressed in the approach to the analysis of sustainable development factors, since most researchers do not separate risk factors and stress factors. When describing stress factors, the following groups were identified: financial, human, technological, political, and environmental. In the study of stress factors, a context-oriented approach was used. As a result of the study, it was revealed that the main stress factors for the sustainable development of the Russian coal industry are associated not only with the implementation of decarbonization programs for world economies, but also with a number of intra-system problems in the development of the industry. Among the latter, the problems of reducing domestic consumption of coal, increasing freight rates for rail transportation, a high degree of import dependence of coal mining against the background of a low level of innovative potential of domestic engineering, the presence of personnel problems in coal mining, etc. The Russian government's Program 2035 does not take into account a number of stress factors caused by the current trends in the development of interconnected and related industries and areas of activity. Proceeding from this, measures aimed at increasing the sustainability of the development of the coal industry are proposed. The conclusion is made about the need to identify and assess stress factors in the formation of industrial policy directions. The practical results of the study can be used to develop measures to strengthen the long-term sustainability of the coal industry and the choice of tools to respond to risks provoked by stress factors.
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俄罗斯煤炭工业可持续发展的压力因素
实现煤炭工业可持续发展,对保障国家安全具有战略意义。本文的目的是确定与俄罗斯和世界经济当前客观趋势相关的煤炭工业可持续发展的压力因素。本研究的假设是假设了解煤炭行业可持续发展的压力因素,从而有可能形成产业政策方向,以防止发展或尽量减少现有的负面趋势的后果,削弱行业的长期潜力。该研究的新颖性体现在分析可持续发展因素的方法上,因为大多数研究人员没有将风险因素和压力因素分开。在描述压力因素时,确定了以下几组:金融、人力、技术、政治和环境。在应激因素的研究中,采用情境导向的方法。研究结果表明,俄罗斯煤炭工业可持续发展的主要压力因素不仅与世界经济脱碳计划的实施有关,而且与该行业发展中的一些系统内问题有关。其中,国内煤炭消费减少、铁路运输运费上涨、国内工程创新潜力水平不高背景下煤炭开采高度依赖进口、煤炭开采人员存在问题等。俄罗斯政府的2035年计划没有考虑到当前相互关联和相关产业和活动领域发展趋势所造成的一些压力因素。在此基础上,提出了提高煤炭工业可持续发展的措施。得出了在产业政策方向形成过程中需要识别和评估压力因素的结论。研究的实际结果可用于制定措施,加强煤炭工业的长期可持续性和工具的选择,以应对压力因素引发的风险。
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