LOGIT MODEL AND PREDICTION QUALITY OF CONTINUOUSLY CAST SLABS

Z. Franěk, R. Pyszko
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Abstract

In the paper there are summarized basic analytical and empirical pieces of knowledge on searching dependences of the influence of thermal process during steel casting in the continuous casting of semi-finished products – slabs, on their quality assessment and as well the influence of thermal processes on the quality of final products rolled of slabs. The course of thermal processes at continuous steel casting has the significant impact on the quality of slabs. The assessment of the quality of slabs during continuous steel casting is an inseparable part of the information system of a metallurgical plant. This assessment works on the data collection and storing the necessary data for an effective assessment between measured and qualitative quantities. The paper describes the proposal of the concept of quality slab prediction. There are statistical methods used for this purpose, especially association rules and logistic regression. On the basis of use of the system for monitoring the casting parameters and the application of statistical methods, association rules for prediction of quality of continuously cast slabs were determined.
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连铸板坯的Logit模型及质量预测
本文总结了在半成品板坯连铸过程中,寻找铸钢过程中热工过程对其质量评价的依赖关系,以及热工过程对板坯轧制最终产品质量的影响等方面的基本分析和经验知识。连铸过程中的热过程对板坯质量有重要影响。连铸坯质量评估是冶金企业连铸坯质量信息系统不可分割的一部分。这种评估的工作是收集数据并存储必要的数据,以便在测量量和定性量之间进行有效评估。本文介绍了质量板坯预测概念的提出。有用于此目的的统计方法,特别是关联规则和逻辑回归。在利用该系统监测连铸工艺参数的基础上,应用统计方法,确定了连铸板坯质量预测的关联规则。
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