Temporal and Geographic Stress Testing of Entrepreneurial Proportionalities in United States Counties

D. F. Toerien
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Abstract

Urbanization is one of man’s greatest challenges. Its handling requires a better understanding of orderliness in the demographic–socioeconomic–entrepreneurial domain of human settlements. Operating business enterprises are manifestations of successful entrepreneurship, which is the characteristic of interest here. Non-linear entrepreneurial proportionalities can be detected through the use of log–log regressions (power law analyses). Such analyses revealed many entrepreneurial proportionalities in datasets of a large number of U.S. counties. This enabled the examination of the temporal and geographic sensitivities of three entrepreneurial types: total entrepreneurship (expressed in total enterprise numbers), new entrepreneurship (the ability to successfully start enterprises of types not yet present), and existing entrepreneurship (the ability to start more enterprises of types already present). Stress testing of the entrepreneurial proportionalities during a period of economic growth (2000 to 2007) followed by a period of economic decline (the so-called Great Recession from 2007 to 2010) enabled the examination of a hypothesis that suggested that the entrepreneurial proportionalities are not temporally or geographically sensitive. The hypothesis is accepted for new and existing entrepreneurship. Total entrepreneurship is geographically sensitive, but not temporally. There is apparently no lack of entrepreneurship in human settlements. Their total entrepreneurship (expressed as total enterprise numbers) appears to be a function of their population sizes and prosperity/poverty levels.
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美国郡县创业比例的时间和地理压力测试
城市化是人类面临的最大挑战之一。处理这一问题需要更好地理解人类住区的人口-社会-经济-企业领域的秩序。经营企业是成功创业的表现,这是这里的兴趣特征。非线性创业比例可以通过使用对数-对数回归(幂律分析)来检测。这样的分析揭示了美国许多县的数据集中的许多创业比例。这样就可以检查三种企业类型的时间和地理敏感性:总企业类型(以企业总数表示)、新企业类型(成功开办尚未出现的企业类型的能力)和现有企业类型(开办更多已经存在的企业类型的能力)。在经济增长期(2000年至2007年)和随后的经济衰退期(2007年至2010年所谓的大衰退)期间对创业比例性进行的压力测试,能够检验一个假设,即创业比例性不具有时间或地理敏感性。这一假设被新的和现有的企业家精神所接受。总的创业精神是地理上敏感的,但不是时间上的。人类住区显然不缺乏企业家精神。它们的企业总数(以企业总数表示)似乎是其人口规模和繁荣/贫穷水平的函数。
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