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Demand-Side Actors in Agricultural Supply Chain Sustainability: An Assessment of Motivations for Action, Implementation Challenges, and Research Frontiers 农业供应链可持续性中的需求侧行动者:行动动机、实施挑战和研究前沿的评估
Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.3390/world4030035
Carina Mueller, Christopher West, Mairon G. Bastos Lima, Bob Doherty
Agricultural supply chains of forest-risk commodities such as soy, palm oil, and cocoa have risen to the top of the global sustainability agenda. Demand-side actors, including consumer-goods companies, retailers, and civil society organizations have coalesced around a growing number of sustainable supply chain policies. However, despite rapid advances in tools and methods to convert data into useful information about impacts and policy effectiveness, and their implementation for decision-making is lagging. There is an urgent need to examine such demand-led action and understand how to accelerate progress towards agricultural supply chain sustainability. Here, we explore how demand-side actors within globalized supply chains see limitations in knowledge and barriers to progress in the context of forest-risk commodities. We draw from 20 semi-structured interviews and two focus group discussions with manufacturers, retailers, NGOs, and data providers. Our findings show that civil society pressure in consumer regions is perceived as a key driver guiding action, that certification is commonly sought to reduce detrimental impacts, but that collaboration to tackle systemic issues remains a gap. Companies also highlight the need for simple, timely, and meaningful metrics to assess impacts—practical usability concerns that need to be considered in the search for ever-greater accuracy in capturing complex phenomena.
大豆、棕榈油和可可等森林风险商品的农业供应链已上升至全球可持续发展议程的首位。包括消费品公司、零售商和民间社会组织在内的需求方参与者已经围绕越来越多的可持续供应链政策联合起来。然而,尽管在将数据转化为有关影响和政策有效性的有用信息的工具和方法方面进展迅速,但它们在决策方面的实施却滞后。迫切需要审查这种以需求为主导的行动,并了解如何加快实现农业供应链可持续性的进展。在这里,我们探讨全球化供应链中的需求方行为体如何看待森林风险商品背景下的知识限制和进步障碍。我们从20个半结构化访谈和与制造商、零售商、非政府组织和数据提供商的两次焦点小组讨论中得出结论。我们的研究结果表明,消费地区的民间社会压力被视为指导行动的关键驱动因素,通常寻求认证以减少有害影响,但解决系统性问题的合作仍然存在差距。公司还强调需要简单、及时和有意义的度量来评估影响——在寻找捕获复杂现象的更高准确性时需要考虑实际可用性问题。
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引用次数: 0
Demographic Delusions: World Population Growth Is Exceeding Most Projections and Jeopardising Scenarios for Sustainable Futures 人口错觉:世界人口增长超出大多数预测,危及可持续未来的情景
Pub Date : 2023-09-06 DOI: 10.3390/world4030034
Jane N. O’Sullivan
The size of the world’s population has profound implications for demand for food, energy and resources, land use change and greenhouse gas emissions. This study examines why most population projections have underestimated world population growth, and the implications for actions required to achieve sustainable societies. The main determinant of future population is family size choices. Population projections by different research groups embed different assumptions about drivers of fertility decline. The common assumptions that fertility decline is driven by economic betterment, urbanisation or education levels are not well supported in historical evidence. In contrast, voluntary family planning provision and promotion achieved rapid fertility decline, even in poor, rural and illiterate communities. Projections based on education and income as drivers of fertility decline ignore the reverse causation, that lowering fertility through family planning interventions enabled economic advancement and improved women’s education access. In recent decades, support for family planning has waned, and global fertility decline has decelerated as a result. Projections calibrated across the decades of strong family planning support have not acknowledged this change and are consequently underestimating global population growth. Scenarios used to model sustainable futures have used overly optimistic population projections while inferring these outcomes will happen without targeted measures to bring them about. Unless political will is rapidly restored for voluntary family planning programs, the global population will almost certainly exceed 10 billion, rendering sustainable food security and a safe climate unachievable.
世界人口规模对粮食、能源和资源需求、土地利用变化和温室气体排放有着深远的影响。本研究探讨了为什么大多数人口预测低估了世界人口增长,以及对实现可持续社会所需行动的影响。未来人口的主要决定因素是家庭规模的选择。不同研究小组的人口预测包含了对生育率下降驱动因素的不同假设。关于生育率下降是由经济改善、城市化或教育水平推动的普遍假设,并没有得到历史证据的充分支持。相比之下,自愿提供和促进计划生育使生育率迅速下降,甚至在贫穷、农村和文盲社区也是如此。基于教育和收入作为生育率下降驱动因素的预测忽视了反向因果关系,即通过计划生育干预措施降低生育率能够促进经济发展并改善妇女受教育的机会。近几十年来,对计划生育的支持有所减弱,全球生育率下降的速度因此放缓。几十年来对计划生育大力支持的校准预测没有认识到这一变化,因此低估了全球人口增长。用于模拟可持续未来的情景使用了过于乐观的人口预测,同时推断这些结果将在没有针对性措施的情况下发生。除非迅速恢复自愿计划生育方案的政治意愿,否则全球人口几乎肯定会超过100亿,从而使可持续粮食安全和安全气候无法实现。
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引用次数: 2
Riverbank Erosion and Rural Food Security in Bangladesh 孟加拉国河岸侵蚀与农村粮食安全
Pub Date : 2023-08-21 DOI: 10.3390/world4030033
M. Billah, Abahan Majumdar, S. Rahman, Mohammad Shah Alam, Md Jamal Hossain, Joynulalom Talukder, Md. Mohidul Islam, Tahmida Khanam
The erosion of riverbanks has a negative impact on many nations across the world, costing them land, buildings, food, fish, and other living things, which forces people to relocate. Both the frequency and severity of riverbank erosion are alarming in Bangladesh. In Zajira Upazila, a baseline investigation was carried out to evaluate the effects of river erosion on the local availability of food. The results show how erosion threatens the majority of residents in the research territory. Additionally, as a consequence of the depletion of farmland brought on by the disaster and its effects, crop production is steadily dropping. Occasionally, people lose whole properties, leaving them with few employment options and little spending power. As a result, they are always in danger of experiencing a shortage of food. The suffering people use various coping strategies to deal with these challenging circumstances, such as shifting to cheaper or less appealing eating options. Despite the fact that local governing bodies have put in place various programs to help them, including food assistance and social protection programs, these are inadequate because of the government’s constrained organizational assets and competence The study’s findings will aid scientists and decision-makers in Bangladesh and abroad in better comprehending the requirements of vulnerable riverine populations and in designing programs that would increase those societies’ food safety Therefore, these results imply that developing and implementing efficient rural development strategies could increase the food security of those residing in Bangladeshi regions threatened by riverbank erosion.
河岸的侵蚀对世界上许多国家都产生了负面影响,损失了土地、建筑、食物、鱼类和其他生物,迫使人们搬迁。孟加拉国河岸侵蚀的频率和严重程度都令人担忧。在Zajira Upazila,开展了一项基线调查,以评估河流侵蚀对当地粮食供应的影响。结果显示了侵蚀如何威胁到研究区域内的大多数居民。此外,由于灾害及其影响造成的耕地枯竭,农作物产量正在稳步下降。有时,人们会失去整个财产,使他们几乎没有就业选择和消费能力。因此,他们总是处于食物短缺的危险之中。受苦的人使用各种应对策略来应对这些具有挑战性的情况,例如转向更便宜或不那么吸引人的饮食选择。尽管地方政府机构已经制定了各种计划来帮助他们,包括食品援助和社会保护计划,但由于政府的组织资产和能力有限,这些计划是不够的。这项研究的发现将帮助孟加拉国和国外的科学家和决策者更好地理解脆弱的河流人口的需求,并设计出能够提高这些社会食品安全的计划。这些结果表明,制定和实施有效的农村发展战略可以提高居住在孟加拉国受河岸侵蚀威胁地区的人们的粮食安全。
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引用次数: 0
The Human Ecology of Overshoot: Why a Major ‘Population Correction’ Is Inevitable 超载的人类生态:为什么重大的“人口调整”是不可避免的
Pub Date : 2023-08-11 DOI: 10.3390/world4030032
W. Rees
Homo sapiens has evolved to reproduce exponentially, expand geographically, and consume all available resources. For most of humanity’s evolutionary history, such expansionist tendencies have been countered by negative feedback. However, the scientific revolution and the use of fossil fuels reduced many forms of negative feedback, enabling us to realize our full potential for exponential growth. This natural capacity is being reinforced by growth-oriented neoliberal economics—nurture complements nature. Problem: the human enterprise is a ‘dissipative structure’ and sub-system of the ecosphere—it can grow and maintain itself only by consuming and dissipating available energy and resources extracted from its host system, the ecosphere, and discharging waste back into its host. The population increase from one to eight billion, and >100-fold expansion of real GWP in just two centuries on a finite planet, has thus propelled modern techno-industrial society into a state of advanced overshoot. We are consuming and polluting the biophysical basis of our own existence. Climate change is the best-known symptom of overshoot, but mainstream ‘solutions’ will actually accelerate climate disruption and worsen overshoot. Humanity is exhibiting the characteristic dynamics of a one-off population boom–bust cycle. The global economy will inevitably contract and humanity will suffer a major population ‘correction’ in this century.
智人已经进化到以指数方式繁殖,在地理上扩张,并消耗所有可用的资源。在人类进化史的大部分时间里,这种扩张主义倾向一直受到负面反馈的抵制。然而,科学革命和化石燃料的使用减少了许多形式的负反馈,使我们能够实现指数增长的全部潜力。这种自然能力正被以增长为导向的新自由主义经济学所强化——培育与自然相辅相成。问题:人类企业是生态圈的“耗散结构”和子系统,它只能通过消耗和耗散从宿主生态圈中提取的可用能量和资源,并将废物排放回宿主来维持自身的发展和维持。在这个有限的星球上,人口从10亿增加到80亿,在短短两个世纪内,实际全球变暖潜能值增长了100倍以上,从而推动现代科技工业社会进入了一种先进的超调状态。我们正在消耗和污染我们自身存在的生物物理基础。气候变化是最著名的超载症状,但主流的“解决方案”实际上会加速气候破坏,加剧超载。人类正在表现出一次性人口繁荣-萧条周期的特征动态。全球经济将不可避免地收缩,人类将在本世纪遭受重大的人口“修正”。
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引用次数: 1
Carbon-Neutrality Research in China—Trends and Emerging Themes 中国的碳中和研究——趋势与主题
Pub Date : 2023-08-02 DOI: 10.3390/world4030031
Wai Ming To, A. Chung
Carbon neutrality is a key human endeavor to deal with global climate while China is the country producing the most publications on carbon neutrality. However, what are the focuses of carbon-neutrality research in China? To answer such an important question, this study adopts a bibliometric approach to analyze carbon-neutrality journal publications from China-based researchers during the period of 2008–2022 using CNKI and Scopus. Results showed that carbon-neutrality publications in Chinese and English journals by Chinese-based researchers increased from 4 in 2008 to 2879 in 2022. In Chinese journals, X.D. Hao was the most productive author with 10 publications. In English journals, Y.K. Zhou was the most productive author with 14 publications. As a whole, the Chinese Academy of Sciences was the most productive institution with 376 publications. Co-occurrence of keywords analysis revealed seven themes in Chinese journal articles, namely, “carbon neutrality and climate change”, “energy transformation”, “peak carbon emission”, “carbon emission and low carbon economy”, “realization path in China”, “hydrogen energy and clean energy”, and “green finance and sustainable development”. In English journals, three major clusters were formed—“carbon, carbon neutralities, emission control, and energy utilization”, “carbon dioxide, carbon neutrals, biomass, and electrocatalysts”, and “China, carbon neutrality, sustainable development, and economic development.” Most extant publications focused on policy and technological development. Emphasis shall be paid to social change and changes in people’s behavior, sectoral carbon emissions, and carbon leakage in future research.
碳中和是人类应对全球气候变化的一项重要努力,而中国是发表碳中和出版物最多的国家。然而,中国碳中和研究的重点是什么?为了回答这一重要问题,本研究采用文献计量学方法,利用CNKI和Scopus对2008-2022年期间中国研究人员发表的碳中和期刊进行了分析。结果显示,中国研究人员在中英文期刊上发表的碳中和论文从2008年的4篇增加到2022年的2879篇。在中文期刊中,郝向东是最多产的作者,发表了10篇论文。在英文期刊中,周永康是最多产的作者,发表了14篇论文。从整体上看,中国科学院是最多产的机构,发表了376篇论文。关键词共现分析揭示了中国期刊文章的七大主题,分别是“碳中和与气候变化”、“能源转型”、“碳排放峰值”、“碳排放与低碳经济”、“中国实现路径”、“氢能与清洁能源”、“绿色金融与可持续发展”。在英文期刊上,形成了“碳、碳中和、排放控制与能源利用”、“二氧化碳、碳中和、生物质与电催化剂”和“中国、碳中和、可持续发展与经济发展”三大集群。大多数现存的出版物集中于政策和技术发展。今后的研究重点应放在社会变迁和人们行为的变化、行业碳排放、碳泄漏等方面。
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引用次数: 1
Environmental Sustainability as Factor for Mega Sport Event Support—Empirical Evidence Regarding the Olympic Games and the Football World Cup 环境可持续性对大型体育赛事支持的影响——基于奥运会和足球世界杯的实证研究
Pub Date : 2023-07-28 DOI: 10.3390/world4030030
Ine Hugaerts, H. Schunk, Thomas Könecke
Environmental sustainability (ES) has generally become an important topic in recent years. In this context, interest in the environmental impact of sport events has also considerably grown. However, not much is known about how people currently perceive ES in mega sport events (MSEs) and if this influences their support to stage a MSE in their home country. To shed light on this question, a survey was conducted in Germany, which resulted in a sample of 917 respondents. The data show that about one-third of them think that ES is adequately implemented in the Olympic Games and the Football World Cup. Around half of the respondents state they are in favour of hosting these events in Germany in the future and multinomial logistic regressions reveal that positive and negative perceptions of the ES of the events are important predictors of support and opposition. The same is true for the perception of the overall brand image of the event. The findings have important implications for future bidding processes because they show that the further development of ES in MSEs might have an influence on the support for hosting these events in Germany and potentially other Western democracies.
近年来,环境可持续性(ES)普遍成为一个重要的话题。在这方面,对体育赛事对环境影响的兴趣也大大增加。然而,对于人们目前如何看待大型体育赛事(MSE)中的ES,以及这是否会影响他们在本国举办MSE的支持,我们知之甚少。为了阐明这个问题,在德国进行了一项调查,共有917名受访者。数据显示,大约三分之一的人认为ES在奥运会和足球世界杯中得到了充分的实施。大约一半的受访者表示,他们赞成未来在德国举办这些活动,多项逻辑回归显示,对事件ES的积极和消极看法是支持和反对的重要预测因素。对活动整体品牌形象的感知也是如此。这些发现对未来的竞标过程具有重要意义,因为它们表明,中小企业中ES的进一步发展可能会对在德国和其他潜在的西方民主国家举办这些活动的支持产生影响。
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引用次数: 0
How 21st Century Population Issues and Policies Differ from Those of the 20th Century 21世纪的人口问题与政策与20世纪有何不同
Pub Date : 2023-07-26 DOI: 10.3390/world4030029
J. Goldstone, J. May
Population issues and population policies have evolved considerably between the 20th and the 21st centuries. In the 1970s, most countries confronted rapid population growth, and this situation was particularly severe in Asia. Today, on the contrary, more than half of the world population is experiencing low fertility and population aging, and several countries with very low fertility are facing the prospect of depopulation. Only one region, i.e., sub-Saharan Africa, still experiences high fertility levels. Similarly, the discussions about whether and how to intervene on population trends have also evolved over the past 70 years. Demographically focused approaches to family planning provision were dominant views in the second half of the 20th century. However, since the International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD) in Cairo in 1994, international population policy paradigms have been reframed to stress the freedom of couples and the reproductive rights of individuals. Consequently, policy interventions have favored client-focused and gender-sensitive approaches. Finally, to help chart the way forward, population policies will need to consider several key elements, broadening from a focus on support for family planning to an array of policy instruments including health, education, and culture, all of which shape future populations. This new policy framework includes the prioritization of interventions, policy consensus building, the selection of priority constituencies, the institutionalization and funding of policies, and the promotion of evidence-based and research-driven policies. In addition, in order to adapt their interventions to local contexts, population policies will need to be holistic, to promote integrated interventions, and to align with international development frameworks.
人口问题和人口政策在20世纪和21世纪之间发生了很大的变化。在1970年代,大多数国家都面临人口迅速增长的问题,这种情况在亚洲尤其严重。相反,今天世界上一半以上的人口正经历低生育率和人口老龄化,一些生育率极低的国家正面临人口减少的前景。只有一个区域,即撒哈拉以南非洲,生育率仍然很高。同样,关于是否以及如何干预人口趋势的讨论也在过去70年中不断发展。在20世纪下半叶,以人口为重点的计划生育方法是主流观点。但是,自从1994年在开罗举行国际人口与发展会议(人发会议)以来,国际人口政策范例已重新拟订,以强调夫妇的自由和个人的生育权利。因此,政策干预倾向于以客户为中心和对性别问题敏感的办法。最后,为了帮助规划未来的道路,人口政策将需要考虑几个关键因素,将重点从支持计划生育扩大到包括卫生、教育和文化在内的一系列政策工具,所有这些都将影响未来的人口。这一新的政策框架包括确定干预措施的优先次序、建立政策共识、选择优先选区、政策的制度化和供资,以及促进循证和研究驱动的政策。此外,为了使它们的干预措施适应当地情况,人口政策必须是整体的,促进综合干预措施,并与国际发展框架保持一致。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of Environmental Variables on Rice Production in Malaysia 环境变量对马来西亚水稻生产的影响
Pub Date : 2023-07-17 DOI: 10.3390/world4030028
S. Solaymani
Climate change has brought significant changes to the earth and agriculture is the main economic sector that has suffered. The current study aims to assess the impact of climatic factors—measured by precipitation, temperature, and CO2 emissions—on rice production using time series from 1961 to 2019 in Malaysia. This research follows the ARDL bounds test and dynamic ARDL simulations methods to estimate long- and short-term connections of the variables under consideration. Empirical evidence indicates that long-run cointegration exist between variables. The results suggest that the sensitivity of rice production to changes in harvested area and temperature is high, while it is low for other inputs. Due to high humidity, the effect of precipitation on rice production is not significant, while temperature can reduce rice yield in the long and short term. However, the impact of carbon emissions on rice production is insignificant. Among the other determinants of rice production, the impact of agricultural labor is negative, but more area cultivation increases rice production over the long and short term. Results also show that the magnitude of the impact of the 2% increase (decrease) in temperature on rice production is greater than the changes in rainfall and carbon emissions. The results for the frequency domain causality test show that a one-way causality exists between temperature and rice production and between carbon emissions and rice production in the short and long run. Hence, the findings of this study can help policy makers to formulate appropriate adaptation methods and mitigation policies to reduce the negative effects of climate change on Malaysian rice production.
气候变化给地球带来了重大变化,农业是受影响的主要经济部门。目前的研究旨在利用马来西亚1961年至2019年的时间序列,评估气候因素(通过降水、温度和二氧化碳排放来测量)对水稻生产的影响。本研究采用ARDL边界检验和动态ARDL模拟方法来估计所考虑变量的长期和短期联系。实证表明,变量之间存在长期协整。结果表明,水稻生产对收获面积和温度变化的敏感性较高,而对其他投入的敏感性较低。由于湿度较大,降水对水稻产量的影响不显著,而温度对水稻产量的长期和短期影响较大。然而,碳排放对水稻生产的影响是微不足道的。在水稻生产的其他决定因素中,农业劳动力的影响是负面的,但从长期和短期来看,更多的面积种植增加了水稻产量。结果还表明,温度升高(降低)2%对水稻生产的影响大于降雨量和碳排放的变化。频域因果检验结果表明,从短期和长期来看,温度与水稻产量、碳排放与水稻产量之间存在单向因果关系。因此,本研究的结果可以帮助决策者制定适当的适应方法和缓解政策,以减少气候变化对马来西亚水稻生产的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Building towards Supercapacitors with Safer Electrolytes and Carbon Electrodes from Natural Resources 用天然资源中更安全的电解质和碳电极构建超级电容器
Pub Date : 2023-07-14 DOI: 10.3390/world4030027
Mohammad Said El Halimi, A. Zanelli, F. Soavi, Tarik Chafik
The growing interest in energy storage devices, both batteries and capacitors, could lead to the improvement of electrochemical properties such as extended charge/discharge cycles, high specific capacitance, and power density. Furthermore, the use of easily available raw materials for the production of carbon electrodes has attracted interest due to the criticality of the resources related to the current technologies of high-performance capacitors. The present article reviews carbon-based materials for supercapacitors derived from affordable coal deposits or crop waste with appropriate characteristics in terms of specific surface area, electrical conductivity, and charge/discharge stability. In addition, the substitution of organic liquids electrolytes with less dangerous solutions, such as aqueous electrolytes containing high concentrations of salt, is a valuable strategy for the design of green devices that is discussed in this review. Finally, the present article reviews the electrochemical performance of supercapacitors based on carbon electrodes obtained from various natural resources and their compatibility with safer and cheaper electrolytes.
人们对储能装置(包括电池和电容器)日益增长的兴趣,可能会导致电化学性能的改善,如延长充放电周期、高比电容和功率密度。此外,由于与当前高性能电容器技术相关的资源至关重要,使用易于获得的原材料生产碳电极引起了人们的兴趣。本文综述了用于超级电容器的碳基材料,这些材料来源于价格合理的煤层或农作物废料,在比表面积、电导率和充放电稳定性方面具有适当的特性。此外,用危险性较低的溶液替代有机液体电解质,如含高浓度盐的水溶液电解质,是设计绿色器件的一种有价值的策略。最后,本文综述了基于碳电极的超级电容器的电化学性能及其与更安全、更便宜的电解质的相容性。
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引用次数: 1
The Role of Stakeholders in the Adoption of Public–Private Partnerships (PPPs) in Municipal Water Infrastructure Projects: A Stakeholder Theory Perspective 利益相关者在市政水利基础设施项目中采用公私伙伴关系(PPPs)中的作用:利益相关者理论视角
Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI: 10.3390/world4030026
Thulani Mandiriza, D. Fourie
South Africa receives insufficient rainfall to meet citizens’ water needs and this is compounded by deficiencies in infrastructure for water services because of inadequate investment and a lack of maintenance. Municipal public–private partnerships (PPPs) for water infrastructure are rarely utilised for several reasons. Central to this paper is the evaluation of the role played by various stakeholders in influencing the adoption and subsequent approval of municipal water PPP projects. This study critically examined the role of each stakeholder and how other stakeholders perceive their effectiveness during the approval process of water PPP projects. The conceptualisation and implementation of PPPs involves managing both the public and private stakeholders to achieve the desired outcomes. These diverse stakeholders have different values, anchored by the need for rent extraction (profit maximisation motive) or self-interest, as advanced by stakeholder theory. By means of structured interviews, participants highlighted the limitations of each stakeholder and how these contribute to the negative perception of future PPPs. The obtained data were triangulated with secondary sources. The findings confirmed the pursuit of self-interest by various stakeholders, impacting the pace of PPP adoption of municipal water projects.
南非的降雨量不足以满足公民的用水需求,而由于投资不足和缺乏维护,供水服务基础设施的不足使情况更加严重。市政公私伙伴关系(ppp)在水利基础设施方面很少被利用,原因有几个。本文的核心是评估各利益相关者在影响市政供水PPP项目的采用和随后的批准方面所发挥的作用。本研究严格审查了每个利益相关者的角色,以及其他利益相关者如何看待他们在水务PPP项目审批过程中的有效性。公私伙伴关系的概念和实施涉及管理公共和私人利益相关者,以实现预期的结果。这些不同的利益相关者有不同的价值观,这些价值观是由利益相关者理论提出的对租金提取(利润最大化动机)或自利的需求所决定的。通过结构化访谈,参与者强调了每个利益相关者的局限性,以及这些局限性如何导致对未来ppp的负面看法。所获得的数据与二手资料进行了三角测量。调查结果证实了各利益相关者对自身利益的追求,影响了PPP在市政供水项目中采用的速度。
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引用次数: 0
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Microlithography World
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