PREDICTING STUDENT ACADEMIC PERFORMANCE USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK

O. Olaniyan
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Abstract

Predicting student academic performance plays an important role in academics. Classifying students using conventional techniques cannot give the desired level of accuracy, while doing it with the use of soft computing techniques may prove to be beneficial. Accurate prediction and early identification of student at-risk are of high concern for educational institutions. Artificial Neural network was employed to complete the performance procedure over MATLAB simulation tool. The performance of Neural Network was evaluated by accuracy and Mean Square Error (MSE). This tool has a simple interface and can be used by an educator for classifying students and distinguishing students with low achievements or at-risk students who are likely to have low performance. Findings revealed that Neural network has the highest prediction accuracy by (98%) followed by decision tree by (91%). Support vector machine and k-nearest neighbor had the same accuracy (83%), while naive Bayes gave lower prediction accuracy (76%).
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利用人工神经网络预测学生学习成绩
预测学生的学习成绩在学习中起着重要的作用。使用传统技术对学生进行分类不能达到期望的准确度,而使用软计算技术进行分类可能是有益的。准确预测和早期识别学生的风险是教育机构高度关注的问题。采用人工神经网络在MATLAB仿真工具上完成性能过程。通过准确率和均方误差(MSE)来评价神经网络的性能。这个工具有一个简单的界面,教育工作者可以使用它来对学生进行分类,区分成绩低的学生或可能表现不佳的高危学生。研究结果表明,神经网络的预测准确率最高(98%),其次是决策树(91%)。支持向量机和k近邻预测准确率相同(83%),而朴素贝叶斯预测准确率较低(76%)。
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