Electricity Consumption and Industrial Performance in Nigeria

C. Bassey, Oduneka, Anagha E., Imoh kingsley Ikpe
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Abstract

Over the years, demand for electricity has continued to grow while supply has consistently declined. The shortages of electricity supply formed the major background for energy crisis in Nigeria. The reason for this is that, all efforts are concentrated at generating electricity from only two major sources, namely: hydropower and gas. Therefore, this study investigated the effects of electricity consumption and its implications on industrial performance in Nigeria. Time series data were used for the study, sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria Annual Report, Statistical Bulletin, Publications of the International Monetary Fund and the National Bureau of Statistics which spanned from 1981 to 2019. The study employed Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares Method and Descriptive Statistics to carry out the empirical analysis. The findings revealed that a unit rise in industrial electricity consumption and exchange rate contribute to industrial performance by 9.4% and 44% respectively. This indicator only reflects marginal impact of industrial performance in Nigeria compare to other countries. However, a percentage increase in gross fixed capital formation and gross domestic product reduced industrial performance by 0.018% and 0.020%. Meanwhile, capacity utilization signed positive but not statistically significant. The study concluded that irregular electricity supply has weakened industrial performance in Nigeria despite various energy resources available. Therefore, the study recommended well rounded energy mix option through government policies to complement the existing energy sources available in Nigeria, as well, as other renewable energy resources for industrial sector and domestic use.
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尼日利亚的电力消耗和工业绩效
多年来,电力需求持续增长,而供应却持续下降。电力供应短缺是尼日利亚能源危机的主要背景。其原因是,所有的努力都集中在发电只有两个主要来源,即:水电和天然气。因此,本研究调查了尼日利亚电力消耗的影响及其对工业绩效的影响。该研究使用的时间序列数据来自1981年至2019年的尼日利亚中央银行年度报告、统计公报、国际货币基金组织出版物和国家统计局。本研究采用全修正普通最小二乘法和描述性统计进行实证分析。调查结果显示,工业用电量和汇率的单位上升对工业绩效的贡献分别为9.4%和44%。与其他国家相比,该指标仅反映了尼日利亚工业绩效的边际影响。然而,固定资本形成总额和国内生产总值的百分比增长使工业绩效分别下降0.018%和0.020%。产能利用率为正,但无统计学意义。该研究得出的结论是,尽管有各种各样的能源可供使用,但不规律的电力供应削弱了尼日利亚的工业绩效。因此,该研究建议通过政府政策提供全面的能源组合选择,以补充尼日利亚现有的能源,以及工业部门和家庭使用的其他可再生能源。
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