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Exploring the Nexus between Profitability, Dividend Policy and Share Prices in Kuwaiti Insurance Companies 探索科威特保险公司盈利能力、股利政策和股票价格之间的关系
Pub Date : 2024-04-18 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v10n2p110
M. AlAli, M. M. A. M. A. Ajmi, Ibraheem Alaskar, Hamed A. Aldhuaina, Nabi Alduwaila
The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of dividend policy and profitability ratios on the share prices of insurance companies listed on Kuwait Stock Exchange (KSE) between 2014 and 2022. The study's findings demonstrated that 42.4% of share prices could be explained by factors related to profitability and dividend policy. Earnings per share (EPS) was the only variable that demonstrated a significant direct relationship with share prices when the individual effects of each variable were examined. While dividend payout ratio (DPR) exhibited a negative correlation with stock prices, it was not statistically significant. Other characteristics that were considered included dividend yield (DY) and interest rate (IR), both of which showed significant inverse relations. This study concludes that investors in Kuwait Stock Exchange (KSE) shares of the insurance sector favor unpredictable future capital gains over more assured dividends.
本研究旨在调查 2014 年至 2022 年期间股息政策和盈利率对在科威特证券交易所(KSE)上市的保险公司股价的影响。研究结果表明,42.4% 的股价可由盈利能力和股利政策相关因素解释。在研究每个变量的单独影响时,每股收益(EPS)是唯一一个与股价有显著直接关系的变量。虽然股利支付率(DPR)与股票价格呈负相关,但在统计上并不显著。其他被考虑的特征包括股息率 (DY) 和利率 (IR),两者均显示出显著的反向关系。本研究的结论是,科威特证券交易所(KSE)保险行业股票的投资者更青睐不可预测的未来资本收益,而不是更有保障的股息。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate Transformation, Income Inequality, and Consumer Commodity Choice: The Economic Cycle in the Rise and Fall of Industries 企业转型、收入不平等与消费者的商品选择:产业兴衰中的经济周期
Pub Date : 2024-04-18 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v10n2p71
Huan Yang
In a multi-industry closed economy with constant productivity, this paper innovatively constructs an inter-industry transformation mechanism, and find the clustering behavior of enterprises transforming according to the industry prosperity will lead to the inter-industry evolution, which will lead to the fluctuation of the business cycle. We also find that the extreme boom/bust of a single industry will greatly increase the degree of income inequality, and when the industrial pattern composed of the development of different industries is in a balanced state, income inequality is at the lowest point of the economic cycle; At the same time, on the demand side of economic operation, we apply the heterogeneous commodity selection theory of utility maximization in classical economics to the household sector with two consumption preferences (high-grade and ordinary) for the first time, and finds that the implementation of diversified commodity basket subsidies for households in need of relief will promote the improvement of total social utility. This is the strong false evidence of the utilitarian view of social welfare; Finally, we study the government's attitude towards enterprise transformation, allowing the government to adjust the industrial structure of the economy by imposing macro-restrictions on the minimum number of companies in a single industry. It finds that enterprise transformation under excessive restrictions will lead to the failure of the market mechanism, making it impossible to rationally allocate production resources among industries, resulting in low GDP and low social utility. The extremely loose transformation supervision will have a profit impact on the high-end goods industry.
在生产率恒定的多产业封闭经济中,本文创新性地构建了产业间转化机制,发现根据产业景气度转化的企业集聚行为将导致产业间演化,进而引发商业周期的波动。同时,在经济运行的需求侧,我们首次将古典经济学中效用最大化的异质商品选择理论应用于具有两种消费偏好(高档和普通)的家庭部门,发现对困难家庭实施多样化的商品篮子补贴将促进社会总效用的提高。这是功利主义社会福利观的有力假证;最后,我们研究了政府对企业转型的态度,允许政府通过对单一行业最低企业数量的宏观限制来调整经济的产业结构。研究发现,过度限制下的企业转型会导致市场机制失灵,使生产资源无法在产业间合理配置,造成低 GDP 和低社会效用。极度宽松的转型监管将对高端产品行业的利润产生影响。
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引用次数: 0
The U.S. Sanitary Pads Market: A Competitive Profile 美国卫生护垫市场:竞争概况
Pub Date : 2023-12-12 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v10n1p20
Y. Datta
This is the seventeenth paper that follows the footsteps of sixteen studies that have tried to analyze the competitive profiles of U.S. consumer markets: Men’s Shaving Gel, Beer, Shampoo, Shredded/Grated Cheese, Refrigerated Orange Juice, Men’s Razor-Blades, Women’s Razor-Blades, Toothpaste, Canned Soup, Coffee, Potato Chips, Alkaline AA Battery, Facial Tissue, Toilet Paper, Paper Towel, and Disposable Diapers.Michael Porter associates high market share with cost leadership strategy, which is based on the idea of competing on a price that is lower than that of the competition.However, customer-perceived quality—not low cost—should be the underpinning of competitive strategy, because it is far more vital to long-term competitive position and profitability than any other factor. So, a superior alternative is to offer better quality vs. the competition.In most consumer markets, a business seeking market share leadership should try to serve the middle class by competing in the mid-price segment; and offering quality better than that of the competition: at a price somewhat higher to signify an image of quality, and to ensure that the strategy is both profitable and sustainable in the long run. Quality, however, is a complex concept, consumers generally find difficult to understand. So, they often use relative price, and a brand’s reputation, as a symbol of quality.The U.S. Sanitary Napkins market had sales of $881 million in 2008.This market consists of two segments: Pantiliners and Sanitary Pads, with 2008 sales, respectively, of $210 million and $671 million.However, we have focused our analysis on the Sanitary Pad segment with the pack size 22-36 that had a market share of 37.1%.Using Hierarchical Cluster Analysis, we tested two hypotheses: (I) That the market leader is likely to compete in the mid-price segment, and that (II) Its unit price is likely to be higher than that of the nearest competition.However, the data did not support Hypothesis I for both 2008 and 2007 because the market leader “Always Ultra-Thin Maxi Pad with Wings (32 count)” was a member of the premium segment.Technically, the data for 2008 did not support Hypothesis II, because the runner-up “Always Maxi Pad Ultra-Thin Overnight (28 count” had a unit price of $6.00, compared to the unit price of $5.98 for the market leader. Yet, the two prices are so close that we have concluded that the data did not really negate Hypothesis II.We found that relative price was a strategic variable, as hypothesized.A pattern is emerging in price-quality segmentation analysis. In ten of the seventeen studies—that exclude Men’s and Women’s Razor-Blades, Ground Coffee, Toilet Paper, Paper Towels, Disposable Diapers, and Sanitary Pads—the market leader was found to be a member of the mid-price segment, as we have hypothesized.Also, results in seven markets supported Hypothesis II.We also discovered four strategic groups in the industry.
这是继 16 项试图分析美国消费者市场竞争概况的研究之后的第 17 篇论文:这些市场包括:男士剃须凝胶、啤酒、洗发水、切碎/粒状奶酪、冷藏橙汁、男士剃须刀片、女士剃须刀片、牙膏、罐装汤、咖啡、薯片、碱性 AA 电池、面巾纸、卫生纸、纸巾和一次性尿布。迈克尔-波特将高市场占有率与成本领先战略联系在一起,成本领先战略的基础是以低于竞争对手的价格进行竞争。然而,竞争战略的基础应该是客户感知的质量,而不是低成本,因为质量对于长期竞争地位和盈利能力的重要性远远超过其他任何因素。因此,与竞争对手相比,提供更好的质量才是更优越的选择。在大多数消费市场上,寻求市场份额领先地位的企业应努力为中产阶级服务,在中等价格段竞争;提供比竞争对手更好的质量:价格略高,以体现质量形象,并确保该战略既有利可图,又可长期持续。然而,质量是一个复杂的概念,消费者一般很难理解。2008 年,美国卫生巾市场的销售额为 8.81 亿美元:然而,我们的分析重点是包装规格为 22-36 的卫生巾细分市场,其市场份额为 37.1%。我们使用层次聚类分析法测试了两个假设:(I)市场领导者可能在中等价格细分市场竞争;(II)其单价可能高于最接近的竞争对手。然而,2008 年和 2007 年的数据都不支持假设 I,因为市场领导者 "Always Ultra-Thin Maxi Pad with Wings(32 个装)"属于高端市场。严格来说,2008 年的数据也不支持假设 II,因为亚军 "Always Maxi Pad Ultra-Thin Overnight(28 个装)"的单价为 6.00 美元,而市场领导者的单价为 5.98 美元。然而,这两个价格非常接近,因此我们得出结论,数据并没有真正否定假设 II。我们发现,相对价格是一个战略变量,正如假设的那样。在 17 项研究中,有 10 项研究(不包括男士和女士剃须刀片、研磨咖啡、卫生纸、纸巾、一次性尿布和卫生护垫)发现,市场领导者是中等价格细分市场的成员,正如我们所假设的那样。
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引用次数: 0
The Economic Implications of China’s Demographic Problems 中国人口问题对经济的影响
Pub Date : 2023-11-29 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v9n4p176
Arthur S. Guarino
China is facing a major threat that is entirely internal: a shrinking population. China’s population growth is a key factor for its economic and financial expansion since the late 1970’s and has allowed its gross domestic product to become the largest in the world. But in recent years, China’s population has started a dangerous decline that worries its policymakers and can only get worse.While China’s leaders have recently introduced policies to accelerate the birthrate, many analysts feel that this is too late to reverse a perilous trend. These analysts predict that a shrinking population will affect China from an economic and financial perspective that will eventually cause it to fall from its place as a major global economy.The aim and purpose of this article is to examine the economic implications of China’s demographic problems.
中国正面临着一个完全来自内部的重大威胁:人口萎缩。自 20 世纪 70 年代末以来,中国的人口增长是其经济和金融扩张的关键因素,并使其国内生产总值成为世界第一。虽然中国领导人最近出台了加快出生率的政策,但许多分析家认为,这对于扭转危险的趋势来说为时已晚。这些分析家预测,人口减少将从经济和金融角度影响中国,最终导致中国从全球主要经济体的位置上跌落。
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引用次数: 0
Social Spending and Long-term Economic Performance in the US 美国的社会支出与长期经济表现
Pub Date : 2023-11-27 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v9n4p158
Alfredo Marvão Pereira, Rui Manuel Pereira, Jiayong Lu
In this paper, we study the effects of social spending on long-term economic performance in the USA from 1949 to 2019 using vector auto-regressive models. We break down social spending into six programs to identify the economic effects of different social programs. Overall, social spending has a positive impact on private saving but an adverse effect on the unemployment rate. Due to its dominant distortionary impact on the labor market, social spending decreases GDP. However, these effects are minimal and are primarily short-term. The economic implications of the different social spending programs on the economy are similar but different in magnitude. The impact of social security and medical care spending on GDP is not significant. In turn, the adverse effects of veteran benefits and unemployment insurance on GDP are dominated by the short-term impact. In contrast, the effects of public assistance are more evenly distributed, and the adverse effects of other social assistance are exclusively long-term. Overall, the message is that although social spending adversely affects economic performance, these effects are small and primarily short-term. As such, the quest for increased social protection and improved social welfare does not seem to come at a significant economic cost. This attests to the sustainability of such policies.
在本文中,我们使用向量自回归模型研究了 1949 年至 2019 年美国社会支出对长期经济表现的影响。我们将社会支出细分为六个项目,以确定不同社会项目的经济效应。总体而言,社会支出对私人储蓄有积极影响,但对失业率有不利影响。由于社会支出对劳动力市场的主要扭曲影响,社会支出会降低国内生产总值。不过,这些影响微乎其微,而且主要是短期的。不同的社会支出项目对经济的影响相似,但程度不同。社会保障和医疗支出对国内生产总值的影响不大。而退伍军人福利和失业保险对国内生产总值的不利影响主要是短期影响。相比之下,公共援助的影响分布较为均匀,而其他社会援助的不利影响则完全是长期性的。总之,我们得到的信息是,尽管社会支出会对经济表现产生不利影响,但这些影响很小,而且主要是短期的。因此,寻求加强社会保护和改善社会福利似乎并不会付出巨大的经济代价。这证明了这些政策的可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Technology Level and Credit Structure Adjustment of Commercial Banks 商业银行的金融技术水平与信贷结构调整
Pub Date : 2023-11-25 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v9n4p131
Yalong Sun
Under the traditional bank credit model, due to financial control and risk considerations, the growth of commercial bank credit scale is limited. Banks often adopt short-term credit strategies and tend to issue guaranteed loans instead of credit loans. In recent years, the development of financial technology in commercial banks has broken the credit resource allocation model of the traditional financial system to a certain extent, which is of great significance for optimizing the credit structure of commercial banks. This paper first analyzes the path of the development of commercial bank financial technology on the adjustment of bank credit structure, and then selects the panel data of 91 commercial banks in China from 2017 to 2021, uses NLP (Natural Language Processing) to construct indicators to measure the level of bank financial technology. Taking commercial banks as the research object, this paper empirically studies the impact of financial technology on the credit structure of commercial banks in China and analyzes the relevant mechanisms. The study found that the increase of the level of financial technology of commercial banks can reduce the bank's non-performing loan ratio, promote the optimization of bank credit structure, increase the loan scale and proportion of credit loans, personal loans, medium and long-term loans. For large commercial banks and small and medium-sized banks, There is a significant difference in the degree of optimization of the credit structure. On the other hand, the adjustment of bank credit structure has brought more customers into the scope of loan business, which has promoted the continuous improvement of the bank's profitability.
在传统的银行信贷模式下,出于财务控制和风险考虑,商业银行信贷规模增长有限。银行往往采取短期信贷策略,倾向于发放担保贷款而非信用贷款。近年来,商业银行金融科技的发展在一定程度上打破了传统金融体系的信贷资源配置模式,对优化商业银行信贷结构具有重要意义。本文首先分析了商业银行金融科技发展对银行信贷结构调整的影响路径,然后选取2017-2021年我国91家商业银行的面板数据,运用NLP(自然语言处理)构建衡量银行金融科技水平的指标。本文以商业银行为研究对象,实证研究了金融科技对我国商业银行信贷结构的影响,并分析了相关机理。研究发现,商业银行金融科技水平的提高可以降低银行不良贷款率,促进银行信贷结构优化,提高信用贷款、个人贷款、中长期贷款的贷款规模和比重。对于大型商业银行和中小型银行而言,信贷结构的优化程度存在显著差异。另一方面,银行信贷结构的调整将更多的客户纳入贷款业务范围,促进了银行盈利能力的不断提高。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Carbon Accounting Information Disclosure of BS Company BS 公司碳会计信息披露研究
Pub Date : 2023-11-24 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v9n4p120
Huiyong Miao
With the proposal of China's "dual-carbon" strategic goals and the gradual implementation of energy-saving and emission reduction plans at various levels, the carbon accounting information disclosure of key industries with carbon emissions has received increasing attention from all sectors of society. As the second largest carbon emitter in China after the power industry, the steel industry naturally becomes a focus of attention. This article takes BS Company, which is representative in China's steel industry, as the research object, analyzes the basic situation of carbon accounting information disclosure of BS Company, such as its methods and content, and further analyzes the main problems existing in its carbon accounting information disclosure, so as to provide corresponding suggestions.
随着我国 "双碳 "战略目标的提出和各级节能减排计划的逐步实施,重点碳排放行业的碳核算信息披露越来越受到社会各界的关注。作为仅次于电力行业的中国第二大碳排放行业,钢铁行业自然成为关注的焦点。本文以我国钢铁行业具有代表性的 BS 公司为研究对象,分析了 BS 公司碳会计信息披露的方式、内容等基本情况,并进一步分析了其碳会计信息披露中存在的主要问题,从而提出相应的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Confirmation Bias, Data Manipulation and the Kuznets Curve: Original, Environmental and Financial 确认偏差、数据操纵和库兹涅茨曲线:原始、环境和金融
Pub Date : 2023-11-17 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v9n4p115
E. Merza, Mohammad Alawin
Empirical work in economics and finance involves data manipulation in ways that make it possible to confirm prior beliefs. The results typically turn out to be sensitive to model specification, sample period, variable definitions and estimation methods. The status quo provides the motivation for dealing with this problem using three versions of the Kuznets curve for the purpose of illustration. The underlying hypotheses are represented by quadratic functions of income per capita, with a different dependent variable for each version of the Kuznets curve. Both time series and cross-sectional data are used to estimate the equations. The results turn out to be highly sensitive to a number of factors, which provides an incentive for being selective in the reporting of results while exhibiting confirmation bias. To overcome the model uncertainty problem one can resort to the use of one of several methods that are based on the reporting of the distribution rather than the point estimation of the coefficients.
经济学和金融学的实证工作涉及到对数据的处理,从而有可能证实先前的观点。其结果通常对模型规格、样本期、变量定义和估计方法很敏感。现状为我们提供了处理这一问题的动机,为了说明问题,我们使用了三种版本的库兹涅茨曲线。基本假设用人均收入的二次函数表示,每个版本的库兹涅茨曲线都有不同的因变量。时间序列数据和横截面数据都用于估计方程。结果表明,对许多因素都非常敏感,这就促使人们在报告结果时有所选择,同时也表现出确认偏差。为了克服模型的不确定性问题,我们可以采用几种方法中的一种,这种方法基于对分布的报告,而不是对系数的点估计。
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引用次数: 0
The U.S. Disposable Diapers Market: A Competitive Profile 美国一次性纸尿裤市场:竞争概况
Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v9n4p99
Y. Datta
This is the sixteenth paper that follows the footsteps of fifteen studies that have tried to analyze the competitive profiles of U.S. consumer markets: Men’s Shaving Gel, Beer, Shampoo, Shredded/Grated Cheese, Refrigerated Orange Juice, Men’s Razor-Blades, Women’s Razor-Blades, Toothpaste, Canned Soup, Coffee, Potato Chips, Alkaline AA Battery, Facial Tissue, Toilet Paper, and Paper Towel.Michael Porter associates high market share with cost leadership strategy, which is based on the idea of competing on a price that is lower than that of the competition.However, customer-perceived quality—not low cost—should be the underpinning of competitive strategy, because it is far more vital to long-term competitive position and profitability than any other factor. So, a superior alternative is to offer better quality vs. the competition.In most consumer markets, a business seeking market share leadership should try to serve the middle class by competing in the mid-price segment; and offering quality better than that of the competition: at a price somewhat higher to signify an image of quality, and to ensure that the strategy is both profitable and sustainable in the long run. The middle class is the socio-economic segment that represents about 40% of households in America.Quality, however, is a complex concept, consumers generally find difficult to understand. So, they often use relative price, and a brand’s reputation, as a symbol of quality.For 2008 the U.S. Disposable Diapers market had sales of $2,411 million.Using Hierarchical Cluster Analysis, we tested two hypotheses: (I) That the market leader is likely to compete in the mid-price segment, and that (II) Its unit price is likely to be higher than that of the nearest competition.For both 2008 and 2007, the results did not support Hypothesis I, because both the market leader, Pampers, and the runner-up, Huggies, were member of the super-premium segment.However, the results did support Hypothesis II for both 2008 and 2007, because Pampers’ unit price was higher than that of the runner-up, Huggies.We found that relative price was a strategic variable, as hypothesized.A pattern is emerging in price-quality segmentation analysis. In ten of the sixteen studies—that exclude Men’s and Women’s Razor-Blades, Ground Coffee, Toilet Paper, Paper Towels, and Disposable Diapers—the market leader was found to be a member of the mid-price segment, as we have hypothesized.Moreover, results in seven markets supported Hypothesis II.Finally, we also discovered three strategic groups in the industry.
这是继15项研究之后的第16篇论文,这些研究试图分析美国消费市场的竞争概况:男性剃须膏、啤酒、洗发水、切碎/磨碎的奶酪、冷藏橙汁、男性剃须刀片、女性剃须刀片、牙膏、罐头汤、咖啡、薯片、碱性AA电池、面巾纸、卫生纸和纸巾。Michael Porter将高市场份额与成本领先战略联系在一起,成本领先战略基于以低于竞争对手的价格进行竞争的理念。然而,顾客感知的质量——而不是低成本——应该是竞争战略的基础,因为它对长期竞争地位和盈利能力的重要性远远超过任何其他因素。所以,一个更好的选择是提供比竞争对手更好的质量。在大多数消费市场中,寻求市场份额领导地位的企业应该努力通过竞争中端价格来服务中产阶级;并提供比竞争对手更好的质量:价格略高,以表明质量的形象,并确保战略既有利可图,又能长期持续下去。中产阶级是社会经济阶层,约占美国家庭的40%。然而,质量是一个复杂的概念,消费者普遍觉得难以理解。因此,他们经常使用相对价格和品牌的声誉作为质量的象征。2008年,美国一次性纸尿裤市场的销售额为24.11亿美元。利用层次聚类分析,我们检验了两个假设:(I)市场领导者可能在中端价格段竞争,(II)其单价可能高于最接近的竞争对手。2008年和2007年的调查结果都不支持假设1,因为市场领先者帮宝适和亚军好奇都属于超高档品牌。然而,2008年和2007年的结果确实支持假设二,因为帮宝适的单价高于第二名好奇。我们发现,正如假设的那样,相对价格是一个战略变量。价格质量细分分析正在形成一种模式。在16项研究中,有10项研究(不包括男女剃须刀片、咖啡粉、卫生纸、纸巾和一次性尿布)发现,正如我们所假设的那样,市场领导者是中等价位的产品。此外,七个市场的结果支持假设二。最后,我们还发现了行业中的三个战略集团。
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引用次数: 0
Development of the Single European Sky 欧洲单一天空的发展
Pub Date : 2023-11-09 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v9n4p88
Ekaterina Kirilova Stefanova
The objective of the research is to present the development of the Single European Sky initiative and to outline its importance for the European economy and the European aviation industry. The paper reviews in detail the concept of the Single European Sky, the economic factors that have led to its formation and the European regulatory framework comprised of a set of EU-wide rules on Air Traffic Management (ATM) safety, on the provision of ATM services, on airspace management and on interoperability within the network, as well as financial support to the technological modernization programme (the SESAR project). It presents the rulemaking activity of the European Commission to deal with the inefficiency of the European ATM System due to the fragmented character of international airspace, fragmented into smaller air traffic control centres divided by the national boundaries, effectively limiting integration, interoperability, and economies of scale, and leading to induced delays, excessive air-traffic control costs and uneconomical flight trajectories. The applied research methodology includes content analysis, analysis of statistical data, historical data, conclusions, and generalizations. The hypothesis is that the strategic goals of the Single European Sky initiative and its implementation are beneficial for the competitiveness of the European aviation industry, and the common rules and the introduction of a harmonized legislative framework will contribute to improving the efficiencies of ATM while accounting for the interests and singularities of all stakeholders in the European aviation value chain.
该研究的目的是介绍单一欧洲天空倡议的发展,并概述其对欧洲经济和欧洲航空业的重要性。本文详细回顾了欧洲单一天空的概念,导致其形成的经济因素和欧洲监管框架,包括一套欧盟范围内的空中交通管理(ATM)安全规则,提供ATM服务,空域管理和网络内的互操作性,以及对技术现代化计划(SESAR项目)的财政支持。它提出了欧盟委员会的规则制定活动,以处理由于国际空域的碎片化特征而导致的欧洲ATM系统效率低下的问题,碎片化成由国家边界划分的较小的空中交通管制中心,有效地限制了一体化,互操作性和规模经济,并导致导致延误,过度的空中交通管制成本和不经济的飞行轨迹。应用研究方法包括内容分析、统计数据分析、历史数据分析、结论分析和概括分析。假设单一欧洲天空倡议的战略目标及其实施有利于欧洲航空业的竞争力,共同规则和统一立法框架的引入将有助于提高ATM的效率,同时考虑到欧洲航空价值链中所有利益相关者的利益和独特性。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of economics and public finance
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