Major Power Interstate Conflict in the Post-World War II Era: an Increase, a Decrease, or No Change?

Richard Stoll
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

HE SECOND World War is often regarded as a watershed in world history. Observers have pointed to a number of changes in the global system that occurred after its conclusion: the emergence of bipolar system structure, along with new contenders for international leadership; the invention (and subsequent proliferation) of weapons of extreme power; and the explosion of new nation-states that has created a truly global system. But have these changes been accompanied by changes in behavior between nation states? This paper will investigate one aspect of interstate behaviormilitary conflict involving the major powers-and ascertain whether the time period 1946-1976 was marked by a sharp change in the amount of this conflict, as compared to the period 1816-1945.
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二战后大国间冲突:增加、减少还是不变?
第二次世界大战常被认为是世界历史的分水岭。观察人士指出,在其结束后,全球体系发生了一些变化:两极体系结构的出现,以及争夺国际领导地位的新竞争者;威力极大的武器的发明(以及随后的扩散);新民族国家的爆发创造了一个真正的全球体系。但是,这些变化是否伴随着民族国家之间行为的变化?本文将研究国家间行为的一个方面——大国之间的军事冲突,并确定1946-1976年这一时期与1816-1945年相比,这种冲突的数量是否发生了急剧变化。
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