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Judicial decision making and biological fact: Roe v. Wade and the unresolved question of fetal viability. 司法决策和生物学事实:罗伊诉韦德案和胎儿生存能力悬而未决的问题。
Pub Date : 1984-12-01 DOI: 10.2307/448475
R. Blank
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引用次数: 3
Campaign Contributions and Legislative Voting: Milk Money and Dairy Price Supports 竞选捐款和立法投票:牛奶钱和乳品价格支持
Pub Date : 1982-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/106591298203500402
W. Welch
-M W fANY MEMBERS of the press and the public apparently believe that interest groups "buy" influence by contributing to political campaigns. This belief has been cited as reason for Congress either publicly to finance congressional campaigns or to place a limit on the amount of monies that a candidate may receive from political action committees. In spite of this public discussion, few scholars have investigated systematically whether campaign contributions directly affect public policy or, more specifically, whether the likelihood that a legislator will vote for a bill favored by an interest group increases upon receiving a contribution from the group. Empirical research on legislative voting can be categorized into two groups. The first group of studies has investigated the relationship between dimensions of voting (e.g. composites of votes on several issues) and measures of general district opinion such as referendum results (Miller and Stokes, 1963; Erickson, 1978; Kuklinski, 1977, 1978; Kuklinski and McCrone, 1980; and Markus, 1974). The second group has focused on the relationship between a congressman's vote on specific bills and the opinions (or self-interest) of sections of his constituency (Bernstein and Anthony, 1974; Danielson and Rubin, 1977; Kau and Rubin, 1978, 1979; and Abrams, 1977). Opinion is usually measured by socioeconomic characteristics. To elaborate on Kuklinski's (1979) criticism, the presumption is that legislative voting is influenced by constituents' opinions but socioeconomic characteristics are no more than proxy variables for such opinions. Most of those used are poor proxies because a priori it is not clear which of many characteristics will predict voting and because the ability of a characteristic to predict voting presumably varies over issues. To be an adequate proxy, a socioeconomic characteristic must be sufficiently refined so that it is related to opinion on a specific bill. In the case of a vote on a specific piece of legislation, the size of a group for whom the issue is salient may be a convincing measure of its influence; and the more precisely the group is defined, the better the variable as a proxy. For instance, in this study dairy industry characteristics arguably are better measures of opinion on dairy price supports than general district characteristics such as percentage of the population which is rural. Furthermore, dairy industry characteristics presumably are poor measures of the relevant dimensions of district opinion on issues such as civil rights. For issues involving specific subgroups of votes, the relationship between a proxy variable and voting is not necessarily a black box. However, district level measures of
新闻界和公众成员显然相信利益集团通过参与政治活动来“购买”影响力。这种信念被引用为国会公开资助国会竞选或限制候选人从政治行动委员会获得的资金数额的理由。尽管有这样的公开讨论,但很少有学者系统地调查竞选捐款是否直接影响公共政策,或者更具体地说,立法者在收到利益集团的捐款后,是否会增加投票支持利益集团支持的法案的可能性。立法机关投票的实证研究可以分为两类。第一组研究调查了投票的维度(例如,对几个问题的投票的组合)和一般地区意见的衡量,如公民投票结果之间的关系(Miller和Stokes, 1963;埃里克森,1978;库克林斯基,1977,1978;Kuklinski and McCrone, 1980;Markus, 1974)。第二组关注国会议员对特定法案的投票与其选区部分意见(或自身利益)之间的关系(Bernstein and Anthony, 1974;Danielson和Rubin, 1977;Kau and Rubin, 1978, 1979;艾布拉姆斯,1977)。舆论通常以社会经济特征来衡量。为了详细说明Kuklinski(1979)的批评,假设立法投票受到选民意见的影响,但社会经济特征只不过是这种意见的代理变量。所使用的大多数都是很差的代理,因为先验地不清楚许多特征中的哪一个可以预测投票,而且因为一个特征预测投票的能力可能会因问题而异。要成为一个适当的代理,社会经济特征必须充分细化,使其与对具体法案的意见相关。在对一项具体立法进行投票的情况下,对该问题具有重要意义的群体的规模可能是衡量其影响力的一个令人信服的指标;群体定义得越精确,这个变量就越适合作为代理。例如,在这项研究中,乳制品行业的特征可以说是更好的衡量乳品价格支持的意见比一般地区的特征,如农村人口的百分比。此外,乳制品行业的特征可能是对公民权利等问题的地区意见的相关维度的不良衡量。对于涉及特定投票子组的问题,代理变量和投票之间的关系不一定是黑盒。然而,地区层面的措施
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引用次数: 127
Party, Ideology, and the Lure of Victory: Iowa Activists in the 1980 Prenomination Campaign 政党、意识形态和胜利的诱惑:爱荷华州1980年提名前竞选中的积极分子
Pub Date : 1982-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/106591298203500405
W. Stone
HE PRESIDENTIAL nomination process in the United States underwent a decade of reform prior to the 1980 presidential election. JL Increased numbers of primaries, reforms of the caucus and convention rules, and extensive media coverage of nomination fights tended to draw into the process large numbers of participants who otherwise would not have been involved. Many analysts have suggested that the reforms have also
在1980年总统大选之前,美国总统提名程序经历了十年的改革。JL:初选次数的增加,党团会议和全国代表大会规则的改革,以及媒体对提名之争的广泛报道,往往会吸引大量本来不会参与其中的参与者。许多分析人士认为,改革也是如此
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引用次数: 11
Book Reviews : Neighborhoods and Urban Development. By ANTHONY DOWNS. (Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution, 1981. Pp. 189. $22.95, $8.95 paper.) Representation and Urban Community. By ANDREW D. GLASSBERG. (London: Macmillan Press, 1981. Pp. 232. $19.50.) 书评:社区与城市发展。安东尼·唐斯著。(华盛顿特区:布鲁金斯学会,1981年。189页。22.95美元,纸质版8.95美元)代表性与城市社区。安德鲁·d·格拉斯伯格著。(伦敦:麦克米伦出版社,1981)232页。19.50美元)。
Pub Date : 1982-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/106591298203500412
Sherman Lewis
rather than in the military or economic considerations that sometimes motivate or justify arms sales. Accordingly, he gives detailed attention to the principal nations selling and buying arms and discusses the issue from a wide variety of individual national perspectives. What emerges from this presentation is a potentially very confusing story in which conventional arms transfers are related to East-West competition, to regional security concerns, to nonproliferation objectives, and to the demands of emerging nations for local and international prestige. Pierre puts all of these specific national policy considerations into a global perspective by beginning with a description of the dilemmas faced by all policymakers in any decision to buy or sell arms, and by concluding with a number of
而不是出于军事或经济方面的考虑,这些考虑有时会促使或证明军售是合理的。因此,他详细关注了主要的武器买卖国家,并从各个国家的广泛角度讨论了这个问题。从这一介绍中可以看出,常规武器转让与东西方竞争、地区安全关切、防扩散目标以及新兴国家对当地和国际声望的要求有关,这可能是一个非常令人困惑的情况。皮埃尔将所有这些具体的国家政策考虑纳入全球视野,首先描述了所有决策者在购买或出售武器的决定中所面临的困境,最后以一些
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引用次数: 0
Social Mobilization, Military Tradition and Current Patterns of Civil-Military Relations in Latin America: Testing Putnam's Major Conclusions 拉丁美洲的社会动员、军事传统和军民关系的当前模式:检验普特南的主要结论
Pub Date : 1982-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/106591298203500408
J. Ruhl
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引用次数: 7
Policy Differences Between Voters and Non-Voters in American Elections 美国选举中选民和非选民的政策差异
Pub Date : 1982-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/106591298203500403
Stephen D. Shaffer
AN IMPORTANT concern in any polity is the extent to which citizens have a voice in public affairs. In representative democracies like America citizens have the opportunity to vote in free elections for public officials whom they most prefer for policy or other reasons. Yet many Americans do not exert the required initiative to register to vote. Barely half of the voting age population voted in the 1980 presidential election, and turnout for less important offices is even lower. Many have expressed the concern that certain types of individuals with specific policy preferences are less likely to vote, and that this may translate into the election of officials and the implementation of policies disapproved by these citizens or adverse to their interests. Pomper (1980: 179-205) after examining the history of race relations in the South especially argues that inability or failure to exercise the franchise can significantly harm the civil liberties and economic welfare of the uninvolved. Key (1961: 186) observes that the opinions of non-voters may have slight weight in the political process. Other studies also conclude that more politically active citizens influence public policy to be more consistent with their own policy preferences, which differ from the preferences of the inactive (Verba and Nie, 1972: 308). In this paper I examine the extent to which there are policy differences between voters and non-voters in presidential and midterm election years over a twenty-eight year time span.
在任何政体中,一个重要的问题是公民在公共事务中的发言权。在像美国这样的代议制民主国家,公民有机会在自由选举中投票选出他们出于政策或其他原因最喜欢的公职人员。然而,许多美国人并没有发挥必要的主动性去登记投票。在1980年的总统选举中,只有不到一半的适龄选民参加了投票,而在不那么重要的职位上的投票率甚至更低。许多人担心,具有特定政策偏好的某些类型的个人不太可能投票,这可能会转化为官员的选举和实施这些公民不赞成或不利于他们利益的政策。庞珀(1980:179-205)在研究了南方种族关系的历史后特别指出,不能或未能行使选举权会严重损害未参与的公民自由和经济福利。Key(1961: 186)指出,非选民的意见在政治过程中可能有轻微的分量。其他研究也得出结论,政治上更活跃的公民影响公共政策,使其更符合自己的政策偏好,这与不活跃的公民的偏好不同(Verba和Nie, 1972: 308)。在本文中,我研究了在28年的时间跨度内,在总统和中期选举年,选民和非选民之间存在政策差异的程度。
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引用次数: 60
The Breakdown of Authoritarian Regimes 专制政权的崩溃
Pub Date : 1982-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/106591298203500407
Robert H. Dix
5Y rEARS of scholarly concern with the conditions of democracy have been followed rather belatedly by recent attention on the part of students of comparative politics to the clearly related, though hardly identical, question of the breakdown of democratic regimes. Similarly, most students of military governments, and of authoritarian regimes generally, have been far more interested in the reasons for military intervention in politics than in the causes or process of the demise of authoritarianism. Only lately has this begun to change. In recent years, for example, there have been a spate of scholarly analyses of Latin America's latest version of authoritarianism, the bureaucratic-authoritarian (B-A) regime.2 In the earlier writings concerning such regimes it was often at least implicitly treated as the new paradigm of Latin America's political future, following upon those earlier, failed paradigms of democracy and socialist revolution. That is, B-A regimes were presumed to be both the wave of the future and a semi-permanent condition, related as they were to Latin America's situation of international dependency and the supposed end of the import-substitution phase of economic development. More recent scholarship, however, has begun to question or qualify some of those formulations and to address such questions as the weaknesses and vulnerabilities of such regimes, as well as the causes and conditions of their possible demise.3 Nonetheless, there still has been remarkably little comparative attention paid to how and why authoritarian governments break down4 (apart, that is, from studies of certain particular cases). Can some general patterns be dis-
5 .继学术界对民主条件的关注之后,比较政治学的学生们最近才开始关注与民主制度崩溃明显相关的问题,尽管几乎不完全相同。同样,大多数研究军政府和独裁政权的学生,对军事干预政治的原因比对威权主义消亡的原因或过程更感兴趣。直到最近,这种情况才开始改变。例如,近年来,对拉丁美洲最新版本的威权主义——官僚-威权主义(B-A)政权——进行了大量的学术分析在早期关于这些政权的著作中,它通常至少被含蓄地视为拉丁美洲政治未来的新范式,紧随那些早期失败的民主和社会主义革命范式。也就是说,B-A制度被认为既是未来的潮流,也是半永久性的条件,因为它们与拉丁美洲的国际依赖状况和经济发展的进口替代阶段的假定结束有关。然而,最近的学术研究开始质疑或限定其中的一些表述,并解决诸如此类政权的弱点和脆弱性等问题,以及它们可能灭亡的原因和条件尽管如此,对于专制政府是如何以及为什么会崩溃(也就是说,从某些特定案例的研究中分离出来),相对而言,关注仍然少得惊人。一些一般的模式可以被取消吗
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引用次数: 57
Major Power Interstate Conflict in the Post-World War II Era: an Increase, a Decrease, or No Change? 二战后大国间冲突:增加、减少还是不变?
Pub Date : 1982-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/106591298203500409
Richard Stoll
HE SECOND World War is often regarded as a watershed in world history. Observers have pointed to a number of changes in the global system that occurred after its conclusion: the emergence of bipolar system structure, along with new contenders for international leadership; the invention (and subsequent proliferation) of weapons of extreme power; and the explosion of new nation-states that has created a truly global system. But have these changes been accompanied by changes in behavior between nation states? This paper will investigate one aspect of interstate behaviormilitary conflict involving the major powers-and ascertain whether the time period 1946-1976 was marked by a sharp change in the amount of this conflict, as compared to the period 1816-1945.
第二次世界大战常被认为是世界历史的分水岭。观察人士指出,在其结束后,全球体系发生了一些变化:两极体系结构的出现,以及争夺国际领导地位的新竞争者;威力极大的武器的发明(以及随后的扩散);新民族国家的爆发创造了一个真正的全球体系。但是,这些变化是否伴随着民族国家之间行为的变化?本文将研究国家间行为的一个方面——大国之间的军事冲突,并确定1946-1976年这一时期与1816-1945年相比,这种冲突的数量是否发生了急剧变化。
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引用次数: 2
Bicameralism and the Theory of Voting 两院制与投票理论
Pub Date : 1982-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/106591298203500404
Donald R. Gross
P 5 RACTITIONERS and political scientists alike have long recognized that legislative decisions are often determined by the strategic behavior of legislators and the procedures of a legislature. Almost every text on the American legislative process discusses how the voting order, the voting procedures, and other legislative procedures can affect the final nature of legislation. While offering insight into the importance of the voting process and the process of strategic behavior, much of the early writing on these topics was primarily descriptive. In recent years a new body of literature on voting processes and strategic behavior in legislatures has developed which is based upon social choice theory.' This literature has addressed a number of topics: coalition formation and stability, vote trading, and legislative procedures such as the voting process. That portion which deals with voting procedures primarily derives from the work of Black (1971) and Farquharson (1969). Black examined how any voting body would select a single proposal out of a series of alternatives for a given voting procedure. Farquharson demonstrated how, for the threevoter three-alternative case, the selection of one final alternative would depend upon the voting process, the voting order, and whether voters were employing sincere or sophisticated strategies. In a recent work, Miller (1977) used a graph-theoretic approach to extend Farquharson's analysis to the general case in which a voting decision must be reached out of a set of n proposals. While a number of legislative voting procedures have been discussed in the literature, such analyses have not taken into account one central characteristic of the American legislative process: bicameralism. The literature has emphasized that the so-called amendment procedure most closely approximates the voting procedure in American legislatures. Under the amendment procedure two proposals are paired for a majority vote, the defeated proposal is eliminated with the winning proposal now being paired against a third proposal. This process continues until one proposal remains. Since the votes are being taken in one chamber, the sincere and sophisticated outcomes as determined by Farquharson and Miller are dependent upon the legislators' preferences among the alternatives presented in the one chamber, the voting order, and the willingness of voters to vote strategically. Actions or anticipated actions outside of the chamber are assumed to have no impact upon the votes or outcome within the chamber.
实践者和政治学家都很早就认识到,立法决定往往是由立法者的战略行为和立法程序决定的。几乎所有关于美国立法程序的文本都讨论了投票顺序、投票程序和其他立法程序如何影响立法的最终性质。虽然对投票过程和战略行为过程的重要性提供了深刻的见解,但关于这些主题的早期著述大多是描述性的。近年来,以社会选择理论为基础的关于立法机构投票过程和战略行为的新文献已经发展起来。这篇文献讨论了许多主题:联盟的形成和稳定,投票交易,和立法程序,如投票过程。处理投票程序的那一部分主要来自Black(1971)和Farquharson(1969)的工作。布莱克研究了任何投票机构如何从给定投票程序的一系列备选方案中选择一项提案。Farquharson演示了在三人投票三种选择的情况下,最终选择一种选择如何取决于投票过程、投票顺序,以及选民是否采用了真诚的或复杂的策略。在最近的一项工作中,Miller(1977)使用图论方法将Farquharson的分析扩展到必须从一组n个提案中达成投票决定的一般情况。虽然文献中讨论了一些立法投票程序,但这些分析没有考虑到美国立法程序的一个中心特征:两院制。文献强调,所谓的修正案程序最接近于美国立法机构的投票程序。根据修正案程序,两个提案将被配对以获得多数票,被否决的提案将被淘汰,获胜的提案将与第三个提案配对。这个过程会一直持续,直到留下一个提案。由于投票是在一个议院进行的,因此法夸尔森和米勒所确定的真诚和复杂的结果取决于立法者在一个议院提出的备选方案中的偏好、投票顺序和选民进行战略性投票的意愿。议会外的行动或预期行动被认为对议会内的投票或结果没有影响。
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引用次数: 6
Campaign Spending in Contests for Governor 州长竞选的竞选支出
Pub Date : 1982-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/106591298203500401
S. Patterson
HE AMERICAN governorship is a political prize of major importance. Governors are more salient to the citizens of their states than any other political figure save the President. Nominating battles occur more often for candidacies for governor than for other offices, even when incumbents are running for reelection. In general, gubernatorial elections are more competitive than other contests, and this has become increasingly true in the past two decades. In one way or another, governors are the principal leaders of their state political party. Moreover, governors face a wider array of public policy problems than ever before, as the governing role of the states has grown. Commensurately, the national standing of governors has magnified, witnessed by the 1980 presidential contest between former governors Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan.l Yet gubernatorial nominations, campaigns, and elections have not been investigated very extensively. Accordingly, the outcomes of gubernatorial elections appear as an alloy of the routine and the idiosyncratic. Systematic investigation of state election outcomes at the aggregate level has centered around three major influences-the effect of partisan strength, the incumbency effect, and the impact of the campaign. Measures of partisan strength aim to capture the baseline support which candidates can expect to receive because of the predisposition of voters to confirm their partisan attachments in the choices they make in the polling booth. Estimates of the "normal vote" for a party indicate what its proportion of the vote would be if the long-term effect of party identification were the only influence on the electoral outcome.2 Aggregate indicators of partisan strength serve as approximations of the normal party vote. Incumbent candidates in an election have an advantage over their challengers both because incumbent status may give them greater visibility to voters, and because the political resources at their command may allow them to conduct more extensive campaigns.3 Thus, incumbency may serve as a positive cue which voters use to make their electoral choices. Moreover, incumbents may be able to amass disproportionately large campaign war chests in order to widen and deepen their reelection efforts. Nevertheless, the
担任美国州长是一项重要的政治奖项。除了总统之外,州长对本州公民的影响比其他任何政治人物都要突出。州长候选人的提名战比其他职位的提名战更频繁,即使现任官员正在竞选连任。总的来说,州长选举比其他选举竞争更激烈,这在过去20年里变得越来越真实。无论如何,州长都是本州政党的主要领导人。此外,随着各州的治理作用日益增强,州长们面临着比以往任何时候都更广泛的公共政策问题。相应地,州长在全国的地位也得到了提升,1980年前州长吉米·卡特和罗纳德·里根之间的总统竞选就是明证。然而,州长提名、竞选和选举并没有得到非常广泛的调查。因此,州长选举的结果似乎是常规和特殊的结合。对州选举结果的系统调查集中在三个主要影响因素上——党派力量的影响、在任者的影响和竞选活动的影响。衡量党派力量的目的是获取候选人预期获得的基线支持,因为选民倾向于在投票站做出选择时确认他们的党派依恋。对一个政党的"正常投票"的估计表明,如果政党身份的长期影响是对选举结果的唯一影响,该政党在投票中的比例将是多少党派力量的综合指标作为正常党派投票的近似值。现任候选人在选举中比他们的挑战者有优势,因为现任的身份可以使他们在选民中更有知名度,因为他们掌握的政治资源可以使他们进行更广泛的竞选活动因此,在职可以作为一个积极的线索,选民使用它来做出他们的选举选择。此外,现任者可能会积累不成比例的巨额竞选资金,以扩大和深化他们的连任努力。然而,
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引用次数: 38
期刊
The Western political quarterly
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