Rational Expectations Models in Macroeconomics

John B. Taylor
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引用次数: 24

Abstract

This paper is a review of rational expectations models used in macroeconomic research. The purpose is to examine in some detail the differences between the models, the advantages and disadvantages of alternative models the empirical support for the models and their policy implications. The main theme is that there os a wide diversity among rational expectations models in macroeconomics, despite their common expectational assumptions and methods of analysis. Information-based and contast-based theories are reviewed as alternative models of aggregate supply. A brief review od rational expectations models of the demand side is also provided, along with a discusion of some problems with the rational expextations assumption.
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宏观经济学中的理性预期模型
本文综述了宏观经济研究中常用的理性预期模型。本文的目的是详细研究模型之间的差异、替代模型的优缺点、模型的实证支持及其政策含义。主要的主题是,尽管宏观经济学中的理性预期模型有共同的预期假设和分析方法,但它们之间存在广泛的差异。以信息为基础的理论和以对比为基础的理论作为总供给的替代模型进行了回顾。简要回顾了需求侧的理性预期模型,并讨论了理性预期假设中的一些问题。
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