Export-led Growth Hypothesis: Empirical Evidence from Selected Sub-saharan African Countries

Chia Yee Ee
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引用次数: 70

Abstract

The objective of this study is to examine the validity of Export-Led Growth (ELG) hypothesis in selected Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries for the period from 1985 to 2014. A new generation panel data approach is applied such as panel unit root, panel cointegration, Fully Modified OLS (FMOLS) and Dynamic Ordinary Least Square (DOLS). The empirical findings revealed that the panel unit root is stationary after the first difference and presents a cointegration. After the confirmation of panel cointegration, there exists a long-run relationship between exports and growth based on FMOLS and DOLS results. FMOLS and DOLS estimation showed a positive impact of investment, government expenditure and exports on the economic growth. Hence, the findings proved that export-oriented growth strategy is valid in the SSA countries.

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出口导向型增长假说:来自撒哈拉以南非洲国家的经验证据
本研究的目的是检验出口导向型增长(ELG)假说在1985年至2014年期间选定的撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)国家的有效性。采用了新一代的面板数据方法,如面板单位根、面板协整、完全修正OLS (FMOLS)和动态普通最小二乘(DOLS)。实证结果表明,面板单位根在第一次差异后是平稳的,并呈现协整。经面板协整验证后,根据FMOLS和DOLS结果,出口与经济增长之间存在长期关系。FMOLS和DOLS估计显示投资、政府支出和出口对经济增长的正向影响。因此,研究结果证明,出口导向型增长战略在SSA国家是有效的。
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