From liberalizing reforms to post-global financial crisis times: how the IMF changed its view on capital account liberalization and capital controls

D. Angelico, G. C. Oliveira
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Abstract

Abstract The view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on capital account liberalization and capital controls has undergone important reassessments over the past two and a half decades. Several financial crises, including the 2007-2008 global financial one (GFC), propelled it to partially defend the use of capital controls to eliminate certain dysfunctions, such as financial risks and pressures on exchange rate appreciation. Our study shows that this reorientation in the scope of IMF articles also configured a response to empirical studies that pointed to flaws in orthodox theory about capital account liberalization and those that investigated the effectiveness of capital controls in emerging economies in the post-global financial crisis period. However, we are yet to find no explicit defense in favor of the use of capital controls and the permanent management of exchange rates, despite relevant empirical evidence indicating the effectiveness of these measures.
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从自由化改革到后全球金融危机时代:国际货币基金组织如何改变其对资本账户自由化和资本管制的看法
在过去的25年里,国际货币基金组织(IMF)对资本账户自由化和资本管制的看法经历了重要的重新评估。几次金融危机,包括2007-2008年全球金融危机(GFC),促使中国在一定程度上捍卫使用资本管制来消除某些功能失调,如金融风险和汇率升值压力。我们的研究表明,IMF文章范围内的这种重新定位也构成了对实证研究的回应,这些研究指出了关于资本账户自由化的正统理论的缺陷,以及那些调查后全球金融危机时期新兴经济体资本管制有效性的研究。然而,尽管相关的经验证据表明这些措施的有效性,但我们尚未找到支持使用资本管制和永久管理汇率的明确辩护。
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发文量
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审稿时长
25 weeks
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