Exclusion of Extreme Jurors and Minority Representation: The Effect of Jury Selection Procedures

Andrea Moro, Martin Van der Linden
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Abstract

We compare two established jury selection procedures meant to safeguard against the inclusion of biased jurors, that are also perceived as causing minorities to be under-represented in juries. The Strike and Replace procedure presents potential jurors one-by-one to the parties, while the Struck procedure presents all potential jurors before the parties exercise vetoes. In equilibrium, Struck more effectively excludes extreme jurors than Strike and Replace but leads to a worse representation of minorities. Simulations suggest that the advantage of Struck in terms of excluding extremes is sizable in a wide range of cases. In contrast, Strike and Replace only provides a significantly better representation of minorities if the minority and majority are heavily polarized. The size of these effects quantitatively depends on parameters. When parameters are estimated to match the parties’ selection of jurors by race with jury-selection data from Mississippi in trials against black defendants, the procedures’ outcomes are substantially different, and the size of the trade-off between objectives can be quantitatively evaluated.
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排除极端陪审员与少数代表:陪审团选择程序的影响
我们比较了两种既定的陪审团选择程序,旨在防止有偏见的陪审员的加入,这也被认为是导致少数民族在陪审团中的代表性不足。“罢黜和替换”程序向各方逐一介绍潜在陪审员,而“罢黜”程序则在各方行使否决权之前介绍所有潜在陪审员。在均衡情况下,斯特莱克比斯特莱克和替换更有效地排除了极端陪审员,但导致少数族裔的代表性更差。模拟表明,在排除极端情况方面,strike的优势在广泛的情况下是相当大的。相比之下,只有在少数族裔和多数族裔严重两极分化的情况下,“罢工与取代”才能更好地代表少数族裔。这些影响的大小在数量上取决于参数。当估算出各方按种族选择陪审员的参数与密西西比州针对黑人被告的审判中陪审团选择数据相匹配时,程序的结果会有本质上的不同,并且可以定量评估目标之间权衡的大小。
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23
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