{"title":"Testing for jumps with robust spot volatility estimators","authors":"Yucheng Sun","doi":"10.1111/stan.12306","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Jumps in the paths of efficient asset prices have important economic implications. Motivated by the issue of testing for jumps based on noisy high‐frequency data, we develop a novel spot volatility estimator, which is obtained by minimizing the sum of some Huber loss functions, and use it as an ingredient for jump detection. This type of estimators is uniformly consistent in estimating the spot volatilities of the efficient price at numerous time points. We further demonstrate the consistency of the proposed jump test based on the property of the novel spot volatility estimator. We show that in finite samples, the proposed volatility estimator and the test perform favorably compared to some competitors through Monte Carlo simulations. We also illustrate our methodology with the stock prices of Apple and Microsoft.","PeriodicalId":1,"journal":{"name":"Accounts of Chemical Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":16.4000,"publicationDate":"2023-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Accounts of Chemical Research","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1111/stan.12306","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"化学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Jumps in the paths of efficient asset prices have important economic implications. Motivated by the issue of testing for jumps based on noisy high‐frequency data, we develop a novel spot volatility estimator, which is obtained by minimizing the sum of some Huber loss functions, and use it as an ingredient for jump detection. This type of estimators is uniformly consistent in estimating the spot volatilities of the efficient price at numerous time points. We further demonstrate the consistency of the proposed jump test based on the property of the novel spot volatility estimator. We show that in finite samples, the proposed volatility estimator and the test perform favorably compared to some competitors through Monte Carlo simulations. We also illustrate our methodology with the stock prices of Apple and Microsoft.
期刊介绍:
Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance.
Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.